Montana State House District 31
Competitive — 10K residents
Montana State House District 31 is a state house district that has a population of 9,947. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+0.0. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.6% | 47.7% | Even | D+1.5 |
| 2020* | 47.8% | 49.3% | R+1.5 | R+8.9 |
| 2016* | 49.5% | 42.0% | D+7.5 | D+1.0 |
| 2012* | 52.0% | 45.5% | D+6.5 | R+23.0 |
| 2008* | 63.1% | 33.7% | D+29.5 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines MT-HD-31?
MT-HD-31 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (3D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2024 election was decided by just 0.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2016, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 31.0 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | MT-HD-31 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Native American / Alaska Native | 65.2% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 26.8% | 83.6% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 2.1% | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Asian | 0.4% | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 0.3% | 0.5% | 12.2% |
Who lives in Montana State House District 31? 9,947 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in MT-HD-31
How competitive is MT-HD-31?
Other Montana State House Districts
99 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| MT-HD-91 | D+62.5 |
| MT-HD-100 | D+57.4 |
| MT-HD-95 | D+42.6 |
| MT-HD-90 | D+40.5 |
| MT-HD-62 | D+34.7 |
| MT-HD-66 | D+33.9 |
| MT-HD-16 | D+27.2 |
| MT-HD-61 | D+23.9 |
| MT-HD-99 | D+23.8 |
| MT-HD-98 | D+18.8 |
| MT-HD-89 | D+18.8 |
| MT-HD-63 | D+17.3 |
| MT-HD-74 | D+15.1 |
| MT-HD-65 | D+14.6 |
| MT-HD-05 | D+11.6 |
| MT-HD-76 | D+10.8 |
| MT-HD-79 | D+8.8 |
| MT-HD-82 | D+8.4 |
| MT-HD-32 | D+8.2 |
| MT-HD-83 | D+7.6 |
| MT-HD-47 | D+7.0 |
| MT-HD-94 | D+6.6 |
| MT-HD-81 | D+5.3 |
| MT-HD-60 | D+3.3 |
| MT-HD-15 | D+3.1 |