How did MT-HD-33, Montana vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MT-HD-33, Montana voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+53.7. Kamala D Harris received 1,050 votes and Donald Trump received 3,678 out of 4,891 total votes cast, a 3.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is MT-HD-33, Montana's political history?

MT-HD-33, Montana has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 27.8 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of MT-HD-33, Montana?

MT-HD-33, Montana has a population of 9,762 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 85.9% non-Hispanic white, 2.6% Hispanic.

Which places are most similar to MT-HD-33, Montana?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to MT-HD-33, Montana are Montana State House District 57, Wyoming State House District 4, Montana State House District 70. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Montana State House District 33

Montana · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.4 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 10K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Montana State House District 57MT

Suburban Republican

R+61.5

Similarity score98%

Wyoming State House District 4WY

Suburban Republican

R+65.1

Similarity score98%

Montana State House District 70MT

Suburban Republican

R+47.6

Similarity score98%

Wyoming State House District 47WY

Suburban Republican

R+64.7

Similarity score97%

Kansas State House District 76KS

Suburban Republican

R+49.2

Similarity score97%

Wyoming State House District 6WY

Suburban Republican

R+73.7

Similarity score97%

Wyoming State House District 18WY

Suburban Republican

R+69.4

Similarity score97%

Kansas State House District 1KS

Suburban Republican

R+54.1

Similarity score97%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MT-HD-33's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Montana State House District 33 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MT-HD-33Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 85.9%Native American 6.0%Multiracial 5.1%Hispanic 2.6%Asian 0.3%

Group	MT-HD-33	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	85.9%	83.6%	57.4%
Native American / Alaska Native	6.0%	5.6%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	5.1%	4.9%	4.0%
Hispanic / Latino	2.6%	4.6%	19.3%
Asian	0.3%	0.8%	6.0%
Black / African American	0.2%	0.5%	12.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Montana State House District 33? 9,762 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MT-HD-33 vs Montana vs National10K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

10K

local

10KState 1.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.00%

local

0.00%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.5%

local

77.5%State 76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $73,049National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 11.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 35.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 69.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 20.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 2.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 4.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 95.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MT-HD-33

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

64.7%

vs Previous

-4.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

7,561

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is MT-HD-33?

Safe RAvg margin: R+51.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+18.9

2012

R+23.2

2016

R+51.0

2020

R+50.3

2024

R+53.7

Elasticity

34.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+39.4

Other Montana State House Districts

99 total

Name	Margin ↓
MT-HD-91	D+62.5
MT-HD-100	D+57.4
MT-HD-95	D+42.6
MT-HD-90	D+40.5
MT-HD-62	D+34.7
MT-HD-66	D+33.9
MT-HD-16	D+27.2
MT-HD-61	D+23.9
MT-HD-99	D+23.8
MT-HD-98	D+18.8
MT-HD-89	D+18.8
MT-HD-63	D+17.3
MT-HD-74	D+15.1
MT-HD-65	D+14.6
MT-HD-05	D+11.6
MT-HD-76	D+10.8
MT-HD-79	D+8.8
MT-HD-82	D+8.4
MT-HD-32	D+8.2
MT-HD-83	D+7.6
MT-HD-47	D+7.0
MT-HD-94	D+6.6
MT-HD-81	D+5.3
MT-HD-60	D+3.3
MT-HD-15	D+3.1

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