North Dakota State House District 21
Leans Democratic — shifted 4.4pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 17K residents
North Dakota State House District 21 is a state house district that has a population of 16,684. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+11.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.4% | 42.5% | D+11.9 | D+4.4 |
| 2020* | 51.9% | 44.4% | D+7.5 | R+2.1 |
| 2016* | 47.9% | 38.3% | D+9.6 | D+12.4 |
| 2012* | 47.1% | 50.0% | R+2.8 | R+26.9 |
| 2008* | 60.9% | 36.9% | D+24.0 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines ND-HD-21?
ND-HD-21 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (4D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 26.9 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Turnout decreased by 59.2 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | ND-HD-21 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 71.3% | 81.7% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 9.7% | 3.4% | 12.2% |
Asian | 6.8% | 1.7% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 4.4% | 4.7% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 3.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in North Dakota State House District 21? 16,684 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in ND-HD-21
How competitive is ND-HD-21?
Other North Dakota State House Districts
48 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| ND-HD-09A | D+41.8 |
| ND-HD-04A | D+15.8 |
| ND-HD-44 | D+12.0 |
| ND-HD-11 | D+11.6 |
| ND-HD-10 | D+0.8 |
| ND-HD-46 | R+3.6 |
| ND-HD-43 | R+6.3 |
| ND-HD-41 | R+8.2 |
| ND-HD-18 | R+8.3 |
| ND-HD-13 | R+11.4 |
| ND-HD-45 | R+14.5 |
| ND-HD-16 | R+17.9 |
| ND-HD-17 | R+18.5 |
| ND-HD-42 | R+18.9 |
| ND-HD-27 | R+21.2 |
| ND-HD-09B | R+22.3 |
| ND-HD-35 | R+24.3 |
| ND-HD-22 | R+32.7 |
| ND-HD-24 | R+32.7 |
| ND-HD-32 | R+33.2 |
| ND-HD-15 | R+34.8 |
| ND-HD-47 | R+36.6 |
| ND-HD-12 | R+37.4 |
| ND-HD-25 | R+37.7 |
| ND-HD-40 | R+38.1 |