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New Hampshire State House District 515

New Hampshire State House District 515

New Hampshire · Latest: 2024↑ D+3.7 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 3.7pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 10K residents

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New Hampshire State House District 515 is a state house district that has a population of 9,622. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+7.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

New Hampshire State House District 515 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202453.3%45.5%D+7.8D+3.7
2020*51.2%47.1%D+4.1D+13.3
2016*42.6%51.8%R+9.2R+6.9
2012*48.9%51.1%R+2.3R+0.7
2008*48.7%50.3%R+1.6—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines NH-HD-515?

NH-HD-515 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (2D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NH-HD-515's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2008 election was decided by just 1.6 points — razor-thin
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
  • Turnout decreased by 80.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
NH-HD-515Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 81.6%Hispanic 6.8%Asian 5.7%Multiracial 3.9%Black 2.0%
GroupNH-HD-515StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
81.6%86.9%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
6.8%4.7%19.3%
Asian
5.7%2.6%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
3.9%4.2%4.0%
Black / African American
2.0%1.5%12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.1%0.1%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New Hampshire State House District 515? 9,622 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
NH-HD-515 vs New Hampshire vs National10K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
10K
local
10KState 1.4MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.00%
local
0.00%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
82.2%
local
82.2%State 78.9%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $99,670National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 7.3%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 40.7%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 72.8%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 43.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 14.8%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 20.1%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 6.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 7.9%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 92.1%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in NH-HD-515

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
54.7%
vs Previous
-80.5pp
Voting-Age Pop
7,910
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is NH-HD-515?

TossupAvg margin: D+0.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+1.6
2012
R+2.3
2016
R+9.2
2020
D+4.1
2024
D+7.8
Elasticity
17.0pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+0.2

Other New Hampshire State House Districts

163 total
NameMargin ↓
NH-HD-412D+71.0
NH-HD-413D+50.4
NH-HD-415D+50.1
NH-HD-414D+49.8
NH-HD-810D+44.9
NH-HD-726D+41.8
NH-HD-727D+41.7
NH-HD-728D+41.7
NH-HD-722D+39.4
NH-HD-533D+36.6
NH-HD-901D+36.4
NH-HD-201D+34.1
NH-HD-203D+34.0
NH-HD-721D+33.8
NH-HD-202D+33.8
NH-HD-204D+33.7
NH-HD-207D+33.6
NH-HD-711D+33.0
NH-HD-813D+30.8
NH-HD-815D+30.8
NH-HD-814D+30.7
NH-HD-817D+30.7
NH-HD-816D+30.6
NH-HD-811D+30.1
NH-HD-710D+29.3
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