How did NV-HD-31, Nevada vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NV-HD-31, Nevada voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+15.8. Kamala D Harris received 19,326 votes and Donald Trump received 26,776 out of 47,148 total votes cast, a 10.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NV-HD-31, Nevada's political history?

NV-HD-31, Nevada has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 1 and Republicans 4 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 13.1 points in 2012.

What are the demographics of NV-HD-31, Nevada?

NV-HD-31, Nevada has a population of 71,961 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 65.3% non-Hispanic white, 19.6% Hispanic, 2.1% Black.

Which places are most similar to NV-HD-31, Nevada?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to NV-HD-31, Nevada are Kansas State House District 98, North Carolina State House District 75, Tennessee State House District 30. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Nevada State House District 31

Nevada · Latest: 2024↓ R+10.8 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 10.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 72K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Kansas State House District 98KS

Suburban Republican 2

R+25.3

Similarity score96%

North Carolina State House District 75NC

Suburban Republican 2

R+8.8

Similarity score96%

Tennessee State House District 30TN

Suburban Republican 2

R+15.5

Similarity score95%

Kentucky State House District 29KY

Suburban Republican 2

R+10.3

Similarity score95%

Pennsylvania State House District 106PA

Suburban Republican 2

R+9.8

Similarity score95%

Kansas State House District 97KS

Suburban Republican 2

R+22.1

Similarity score95%

Florida State House District 16FL

Suburban Republican 2

R+20.6

Similarity score95%

Kentucky State House District 45KY

Suburban Republican 2

R+4.1

Similarity score95%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NV-HD-31's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Nevada State House District 31 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NV-HD-31Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 65.3%Hispanic 19.6%Asian 5.9%Multiracial 5.3%Black 2.1%Native American 1.3%Native Hawaiian 0.5%

Group	NV-HD-31	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	65.3%	44.8%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	19.6%	29.6%	19.3%
Asian	5.9%	9.0%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	5.3%	5.2%	4.0%
Black / African American	2.1%	9.4%	12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native	1.3%	1.4%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Nevada State House District 31? 71,961 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NV-HD-31 vs Nevada vs National72K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72K

local

72KState 3.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.02%

local

0.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.8%

local

76.8%State 77.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $78,545National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 27.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 60.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.0%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 19.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 29.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 70.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NV-HD-31

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

85.3%

vs Previous

-57.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

55,247

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NV-HD-31?

Likely RAvg margin: R+12.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+1.2

2012

R+11.9

2016

R+16.1

2020

R+5.0

2024

R+15.8

Elasticity

17.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+9.5

Other Nevada State House Districts

41 total

Name	Margin ↓
NV-HD-06	D+49.9
NV-HD-11	D+34.6
NV-HD-24	D+27.4
NV-HD-28	D+26.8
NV-HD-17	D+25.2
NV-HD-07	D+23.6
NV-HD-14	D+21.3
NV-HD-15	D+18.8
NV-HD-20	D+15.3
NV-HD-18	D+14.9
NV-HD-10	D+12.6
NV-HD-25	D+12.6
NV-HD-27	D+11.9
NV-HD-30	D+10.6
NV-HD-03	D+9.0
NV-HD-34	D+8.4
NV-HD-01	D+7.8
NV-HD-42	D+5.1
NV-HD-16	D+3.7
NV-HD-29	D+3.3
NV-HD-08	D+2.5
NV-HD-05	D+2.1
NV-HD-21	D+1.7
NV-HD-12	D+0.9
NV-HD-09	D+0.5

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