New York Assembly District 12
Leans Republican — shifted 8.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 128K residents
New York Assembly District 12 is a state house district that has a population of 127,974. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.7% | 52.6% | R+6.8 | R+8.5 |
| 2020* | 50.2% | 48.5% | D+1.7 | D+7.2 |
| 2016* | 45.1% | 50.7% | R+5.5 | R+1.7 |
| 2012* | 48.1% | 51.9% | R+3.8 | R+4.3 |
| 2008* | 49.7% | 49.2% | D+0.5 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines NY-HD-12?
NY-HD-12 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.5 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Turnout decreased by 63.6 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | NY-HD-12 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 70.9% | 52.8% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 15.1% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
Asian | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 5.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Who lives in New York Assembly District 12? 127,974 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in NY-HD-12
How competitive is NY-HD-12?
Other New York State House Districts
149 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| NY-HD-58 | D+84.9 |
| NY-HD-52 | D+82.0 |
| NY-HD-57 | D+81.4 |
| NY-HD-55 | D+80.5 |
| NY-HD-56 | D+80.5 |
| NY-HD-70 | D+77.2 |
| NY-HD-69 | D+76.3 |
| NY-HD-60 | D+75.0 |
| NY-HD-83 | D+74.2 |
| NY-HD-141 | D+71.3 |
| NY-HD-66 | D+70.3 |
| NY-HD-67 | D+69.7 |
| NY-HD-29 | D+67.7 |
| NY-HD-71 | D+67.5 |
| NY-HD-43 | D+66.8 |
| NY-HD-75 | D+65.3 |
| NY-HD-42 | D+64.2 |
| NY-HD-68 | D+64.1 |
| NY-HD-32 | D+64.0 |
| NY-HD-74 | D+63.8 |
| NY-HD-44 | D+62.8 |
| NY-HD-18 | D+61.7 |
| NY-HD-53 | D+60.4 |
| NY-HD-76 | D+58.6 |
| NY-HD-31 | D+56.1 |