Oregon State House District 49
Safe Democratic — shifted 26.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 70K residents
Oregon State House District 49 is a state house district that has a population of 70,439. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+15.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.7% | 40.5% | D+15.2 | R+26.7 |
| 2020* | 69.4% | 27.5% | D+42.0 | D+30.8 |
| 2016* | 49.7% | 38.5% | D+11.2 | R+6.3 |
| 2012* | 58.8% | 41.2% | D+17.5 | R+2.8 |
| 2008* | 59.1% | 38.8% | D+20.4 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines OR-HD-49?
It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 26.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 30.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | OR-HD-49 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 56.2% | 71.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 23.1% | 14.7% | 19.3% |
Asian | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 6.1% | 1.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Oregon State House District 49? 70,439 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in OR-HD-49
How competitive is OR-HD-49?
Other Oregon State House Districts
59 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| OR-HD-43 | D+85.7 |
| OR-HD-42 | D+84.2 |
| OR-HD-33 | D+75.8 |
| OR-HD-44 | D+75.3 |
| OR-HD-28 | D+71.9 |
| OR-HD-45 | D+71.3 |
| OR-HD-08 | D+66.1 |
| OR-HD-46 | D+64.0 |
| OR-HD-41 | D+60.3 |
| OR-HD-38 | D+57.5 |
| OR-HD-16 | D+54.3 |
| OR-HD-27 | D+50.1 |
| OR-HD-34 | D+46.0 |
| OR-HD-47 | D+38.7 |
| OR-HD-35 | D+37.5 |
| OR-HD-25 | D+37.3 |
| OR-HD-30 | D+34.7 |
| OR-HD-13 | D+34.6 |
| OR-HD-54 | D+33.7 |
| OR-HD-37 | D+30.0 |
| OR-HD-36 | D+29.5 |
| OR-HD-05 | D+27.9 |
| OR-HD-14 | D+24.6 |
| OR-HD-26 | D+21.2 |
| OR-HD-29 | D+16.1 |