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Oregon State House District 53

Oregon State House District 53

Oregon · Latest: 2024↑ D+8.9 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 8.9pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 70K residents

Oregon State House District 53 is a state house district that has a population of 70,378. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+12.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Oregon State House District 53 Presidential Election Results, 20082024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202454.6%41.9%D+12.7D+8.9
2020*50.5%46.6%D+3.8D+5.6
2016*43.8%45.5%R+1.7D+6.1
2012*46.1%53.9%R+7.8R+7.6
2008*49.0%49.1%R+0.2

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines OR-HD-53?

OR-HD-53 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 21pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2008 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
  • Shifted 20.5 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
OR-HD-53Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 82.9%Hispanic 9.0%Multiracial 5.5%Asian 1.3%Native American 0.7%Black 0.5%
GroupOR-HD-53StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
82.9%71.4%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
9.0%14.7%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
5.5%6.0%4.0%
Asian
1.3%4.5%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.7%1.1%0.9%
Black / African American
0.5%1.9%12.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.2%0.4%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Oregon State House District 53? 70,378 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
OR-HD-53 vs Oregon vs National70K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
70K
local
70KState 4.3MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.02%
local
0.02%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
79.1%
local
79.1%State 77.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $84,541National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 12.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 36.7%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 63.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 40.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.2%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 19.1%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 9.8%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.2%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 84.8%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in OR-HD-53

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
82.7%
vs Previous
-17.4pp
Voting-Age Pop
55,684
History
20082024
Competitiveness

How competitive is OR-HD-53?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+4.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+0.2
2012
R+7.8
2016
R+1.7
2020
D+3.8
2024
D+12.7
Elasticity
20.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+1.4

Other Oregon State House Districts

59 total
NameMargin
OR-HD-43D+85.7
OR-HD-42D+84.2
OR-HD-33D+75.8
OR-HD-44D+75.3
OR-HD-28D+71.9
OR-HD-45D+71.3
OR-HD-08D+66.1
OR-HD-46D+64.0
OR-HD-41D+60.3
OR-HD-38D+57.5
OR-HD-16D+54.3
OR-HD-27D+50.1
OR-HD-34D+46.0
OR-HD-47D+38.7
OR-HD-35D+37.5
OR-HD-25D+37.3
OR-HD-30D+34.7
OR-HD-13D+34.6
OR-HD-54D+33.7
OR-HD-37D+30.0
OR-HD-36D+29.5
OR-HD-05D+27.9
OR-HD-14D+24.6
OR-HD-26D+21.2
OR-HD-29D+16.1
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