South Dakota State House District 15
Leans Democratic — shifted 10.9pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 26K residents
South Dakota State House District 15 is a state house district that has a population of 26,133. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+8.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.3% | 44.3% | D+8.1 | D+10.9 |
| 2020* | 47.0% | 49.9% | R+2.8 | R+8.5 |
| 2016* | 48.3% | 42.6% | D+5.7 | D+13.1 |
| 2012* | 45.2% | 52.6% | R+7.4 | R+31.6 |
| 2008* | 60.7% | 36.5% | D+24.2 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines SD-HD-15?
SD-HD-15 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Swung 10.9 points toward Democratic between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2020
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 31.6 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | SD-HD-15 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 65.7% | 79.8% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 10.9% | 2.3% | 12.2% |
Hispanic / Latino | 9.1% | 4.8% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 7.9% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
Asian | 2.1% | 1.4% | 6.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | <0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in South Dakota State House District 15? 26,133 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in SD-HD-15
How competitive is SD-HD-15?
Other South Dakota State House Districts
36 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| SD-HD-26A | D+27.1 |
| SD-HD-10 | D+7.5 |
| SD-HD-27 | R+0.2 |
| SD-HD-32 | R+1.8 |
| SD-HD-14 | R+3.4 |
| SD-HD-12 | R+5.2 |
| SD-HD-11 | R+9.6 |
| SD-HD-28A | R+10.1 |
| SD-HD-07 | R+10.2 |
| SD-HD-13 | R+10.3 |
| SD-HD-34 | R+16.3 |
| SD-HD-17 | R+18.7 |
| SD-HD-01 | R+23.0 |
| SD-HD-03 | R+23.5 |
| SD-HD-09 | R+23.9 |
| SD-HD-02 | R+29.3 |
| SD-HD-31 | R+30.5 |
| SD-HD-06 | R+32.6 |
| SD-HD-35 | R+33.8 |
| SD-HD-33 | R+34.8 |
| SD-HD-18 | R+34.9 |
| SD-HD-08 | R+36.6 |
| SD-HD-26B | R+37.4 |
| SD-HD-05 | R+38.0 |
| SD-HD-25 | R+39.5 |