Tennessee State House District 45
Safe Republican — 68K residents
Tennessee State House District 45 is a state house district that has a population of 67,970. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+34.5. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.1% | 66.6% | R+34.5 | D+1.1 |
| 2020* | 31.4% | 67.0% | R+35.6 | D+6.7 |
| 2016* | 26.4% | 68.7% | R+42.3 | D+2.9 |
| 2012* | 27.4% | 72.6% | R+45.2 | R+6.4 |
| 2008* | 30.0% | 68.9% | R+38.9 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines TN-HD-45?
TN-HD-45 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 11pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Similar state house districts
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 34.5% margin
- Shifted 10.7 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | TN-HD-45 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 78.5% | 71.0% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 7.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
Hispanic / Latino | 6.6% | 7.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Asian | 1.8% | 1.9% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Tennessee State House District 45? 67,970 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in TN-HD-45
How competitive is TN-HD-45?
Other Tennessee State House Districts
98 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| TN-HD-84 | D+75.7 |
| TN-HD-85 | D+74.0 |
| TN-HD-91 | D+70.3 |
| TN-HD-87 | D+67.3 |
| TN-HD-54 | D+60.2 |
| TN-HD-58 | D+55.3 |
| TN-HD-93 | D+53.3 |
| TN-HD-28 | D+48.5 |
| TN-HD-96 | D+46.3 |
| TN-HD-86 | D+44.7 |
| TN-HD-88 | D+42.4 |
| TN-HD-98 | D+42.4 |
| TN-HD-55 | D+42.0 |
| TN-HD-51 | D+37.2 |
| TN-HD-52 | D+36.6 |
| TN-HD-15 | D+33.1 |
| TN-HD-56 | D+29.5 |
| TN-HD-53 | D+22.8 |
| TN-HD-90 | D+13.6 |
| TN-HD-60 | D+10.5 |
| TN-HD-80 | D+7.2 |
| TN-HD-97 | D+4.9 |
| TN-HD-50 | D+4.5 |
| TN-HD-59 | D+2.4 |
| TN-HD-67 | R+1.9 |