How did VA-HD-40, Virginia vote in the 2024 presidential election?

VA-HD-40, Virginia voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+9.2. Kamala D Harris received 21,770 votes and Donald Trump received 26,273 out of 48,847 total votes cast, a 3.7-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is VA-HD-40, Virginia's political history?

VA-HD-40, Virginia has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 3.8 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of VA-HD-40, Virginia?

VA-HD-40, Virginia has a population of 86,723 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 79.5% non-Hispanic white, 4.5% Hispanic, 8.0% Black.

Which places are most similar to VA-HD-40, Virginia?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to VA-HD-40, Virginia are Michigan State House District 20, Wisconsin State House District 21, Massachusetts State House District 117. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Virginia House of Delegates District 40

Virginia · Latest: 2024↑ D+3.7 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 87K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Michigan State House District 20MI

Urban Competitive

D+4.7

Similarity score97%

Wisconsin State House District 21WI

Urban Competitive

R+3.1

Similarity score96%

Massachusetts State House District 117MA

Urban Competitive

R+3.6

Similarity score94%

Massachusetts State House District 118MA

Urban Competitive

R+2.9

Similarity score94%

Massachusetts State House District 94MA

Urban Competitive

R+4.4

Similarity score94%

Pennsylvania State House District 44PA

Urban Competitive

R+3.8

Similarity score93%

Massachusetts State House District 148MA

Urban Competitive

R+0.4

Similarity score93%

Ohio State House District 23OH

Urban Competitive

R+1.8

Similarity score93%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-HD-40's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Virginia House of Delegates District 40 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

VA-HD-40Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 79.5%Black 8.0%Hispanic 4.5%Multiracial 4.1%Asian 3.5%

Group	VA-HD-40	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	79.5%	58.4%	57.4%
Black / African American	8.0%	18.6%	12.2%
Hispanic / Latino	4.5%	11.0%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.1%	4.7%	4.0%
Asian	3.5%	6.9%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.2%	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia House of Delegates District 40? 86,723 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

VA-HD-40 vs Virginia vs National87K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

87K

local

87KState 8.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

80.7%

local

80.7%State 75.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $99,933National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in VA-HD-40

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

69.8%

vs Previous

-62.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

69,963

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-HD-40?

Likely RAvg margin: R+13.0 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+13.0

2012

R+16.5

2016

R+16.7

2020

R+13.0

2024

R+9.2

Elasticity

7.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+13.7

Other Virginia State House Districts

99 total

Name	Margin ↓
VA-HD-79	D+78.9
VA-HD-54	D+60.8
VA-HD-01	D+59.5
VA-HD-05	D+58.9
VA-HD-02	D+57.5
VA-HD-03	D+56.6
VA-HD-78	D+54.7
VA-HD-92	D+52.4
VA-HD-87	D+51.9
VA-HD-80	D+51.5
VA-HD-77	D+50.6
VA-HD-93	D+48.3
VA-HD-04	D+48.0
VA-HD-13	D+46.3
VA-HD-07	D+44.6
VA-HD-17	D+42.5
VA-HD-12	D+41.7
VA-HD-16	D+38.7
VA-HD-85	D+37.1
VA-HD-08	D+35.9
VA-HD-88	D+35.7
VA-HD-11	D+35.4
VA-HD-23	D+35.2
VA-HD-91	D+35.1
VA-HD-81	D+34.6

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