How did WI-HD-16, Wisconsin vote in the 2024 presidential election?

WI-HD-16, Wisconsin voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+71.7. Kamala D Harris received 20,219 votes and Donald Trump received 3,164 out of 23,776 total votes cast, a 14.4-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is WI-HD-16, Wisconsin's political history?

WI-HD-16, Wisconsin has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 20.7 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of WI-HD-16, Wisconsin?

WI-HD-16, Wisconsin has a population of 59,714 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 25.6% non-Hispanic white, 7.3% Hispanic, 57.5% Black.

Which places are most similar to WI-HD-16, Wisconsin?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to WI-HD-16, Wisconsin are Wisconsin State House District 18, Pennsylvania State House District 198, Missouri State House District 27. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Wisconsin State House District 16

Wisconsin · Latest: 2024↑ D+14.4 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 14.4pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 60K residents

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Wisconsin State House District 16 is a state house district that has a population of 59,714. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+71.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Wisconsin State House District 16 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	85.0%	13.3%	D+71.7	D+14.4
2020*	77.8%	20.5%	D+57.3	R+20.7
2016*	86.7%	8.7%	D+78.0	R+2.6
2012*	90.3%	9.7%	D+80.5	D+0.4
2008*	89.6%	9.5%	D+80.1	—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines WI-HD-16?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Wisconsin State House District 18WI

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+66.5

Similarity score99%

Pennsylvania State House District 198PA

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+84.7

Similarity score99%

Missouri State House District 27MO

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+71.9

Similarity score99%

Georgia State House District 62GA

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+82.5

Similarity score99%

New York Assembly District 141NY

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+71.3

Similarity score99%

Missouri State House District 26MO

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+63.4

Similarity score99%

Delaware State House District 2DE

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+71.9

Similarity score98%

Pennsylvania State House District 191PA

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+85.6

Similarity score98%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore WI-HD-16's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Wisconsin State House District 16 voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 71.7% margin
Swung 14.4 points toward Democratic between 2020 and 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

WI-HD-16Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Black 57.5%White (Non-Hispanic) 25.6%Hispanic 7.3%Asian 5.9%Multiracial 3.2%Native American 0.4%

Group	WI-HD-16	State	National
Black / African American	57.5%	6.1%	12.2%
White (Non-Hispanic)	25.6%	78.6%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	7.3%	8.0%	19.3%
Asian	5.9%	3.0%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	3.2%	3.6%	4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.4%	0.8%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Wisconsin State House District 16? 59,714 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

WI-HD-16 vs Wisconsin vs National60K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

60K

local

60KState 5.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.02%

local

0.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.4%

local

76.4%State 76.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $78,421National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 33.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 18.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 5.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 91.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in WI-HD-16

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

52.1%

vs Previous

-61.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

45,615

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is WI-HD-16?

Safe DAvg margin: D+69.0 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+80.1

2012

D+80.5

2016

D+78.0

2020

D+57.3

2024

D+71.7

Elasticity

23.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+73.5

Other Wisconsin State House Districts

98 total

Name	Margin ↓
WI-HD-77	D+75.7
WI-HD-11	D+75.4
WI-HD-76	D+70.7
WI-HD-10	D+69.4
WI-HD-48	D+68.2
WI-HD-17	D+67.7
WI-HD-18	D+66.5
WI-HD-78	D+61.6
WI-HD-19	D+60.0
WI-HD-12	D+59.5
WI-HD-47	D+57.5
WI-HD-79	D+47.0
WI-HD-08	D+46.4
WI-HD-46	D+39.5
WI-HD-80	D+39.0
WI-HD-09	D+33.8
WI-HD-66	D+32.6
WI-HD-23	D+27.9
WI-HD-14	D+26.7
WI-HD-20	D+25.3
WI-HD-91	D+24.9
WI-HD-95	D+22.9
WI-HD-43	D+22.2
WI-HD-07	D+18.3
WI-HD-90	D+16.2

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