How did IN-SD-45, Indiana vote in the 2024 presidential election?

IN-SD-45, Indiana voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+19.3. Kamala D Harris received 26,296 votes and Donald Trump received 39,211 out of 66,900 total votes cast, a 1.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is IN-SD-45, Indiana's political history?

IN-SD-45, Indiana has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 12.1 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of IN-SD-45, Indiana?

IN-SD-45, Indiana has a population of 135,873 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 79.3% non-Hispanic white, 6.2% Hispanic, 7.5% Black.

Which places are most similar to IN-SD-45, Indiana?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state senate districts to IN-SD-45, Indiana are Indiana State Senate District 47, Indiana State Senate District 28, Ohio State Senate District 22. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Indiana State Senate District 45

Indiana · Latest: 2024↓ R+1.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 136K residents

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Indiana State Senate District 45 is a state senate district that has a population of 135,873. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Indiana State Senate District 45 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	39.3%	58.6%	R+19.3	R+1.7
2020*	40.2%	57.9%	R+17.7	D+5.9
2016*	35.4%	59.0%	R+23.6	R+12.1
2012*	44.2%	55.8%	R+11.5	R+3.1
2008*	45.2%	53.7%	R+8.4	—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines IN-SD-45?

It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Indiana State Senate District 47IN

Regional Republican

R+33.2

Similarity score95%

Indiana State Senate District 28IN

Regional Republican

R+27.6

Similarity score95%

Ohio State Senate District 22OH

Regional Republican

R+33.6

Similarity score93%

Kentucky State Senate District 34KY

Regional Republican

R+20.9

Similarity score93%

West Virginia State Senate District 16WV

Regional Republican

R+23.7

Similarity score93%

Indiana State Senate District 16IN

Urban Competitive

R+19.7

Similarity score92%

Michigan State Senate District 16MI

Regional Republican

R+30.0

Similarity score92%

Missouri State Senate District 34MO

Urban Competitive

R+11.1

Similarity score92%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore IN-SD-45's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Indiana State Senate District 45 voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Turnout decreased by 61.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

IN-SD-45Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 79.3%Black 7.5%Hispanic 6.2%Multiracial 5.2%Asian 1.2%Native American 0.4%

Group	IN-SD-45	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	79.3%	75.4%	57.4%
Black / African American	7.5%	9.2%	12.2%
Hispanic / Latino	6.2%	8.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.2%	3.8%	4.0%
Asian	1.2%	2.6%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.4%	0.3%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	<0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Indiana State Senate District 45? 135,873 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

IN-SD-45 vs Indiana vs National136K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

136K

local

136KState 6.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.3%

local

77.3%State 74.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $73,272National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 29.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 70.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 38.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 6.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 89.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in IN-SD-45

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

63.7%

vs Previous

-61.5pp

Voting-Age Pop

105,062

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is IN-SD-45?

Safe RAvg margin: R+20.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+8.4

2012

R+11.5

2016

R+23.6

2020

R+17.7

2024

R+19.3

Elasticity

15.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+16.1

Other Indiana State Senate Districts

49 total

Name	Margin ↓
IN-SD-33	D+64.8
IN-SD-34	D+59.0
IN-SD-30	D+43.1
IN-SD-46	D+41.5
IN-SD-03	D+40.7
IN-SD-40	D+28.1
IN-SD-02	D+25.3
IN-SD-10	D+15.6
IN-SD-29	D+14.3
IN-SD-31	D+2.6
IN-SD-04	R+1.7
IN-SD-01	R+7.2
IN-SD-20	R+10.4
IN-SD-11	R+13.8
IN-SD-22	R+14.3
IN-SD-35	R+15.8
IN-SD-32	R+16.6
IN-SD-15	R+16.8
IN-SD-16	R+19.7
IN-SD-50	R+19.9
IN-SD-36	R+20.4
IN-SD-49	R+21.8
IN-SD-24	R+22.8
IN-SD-26	R+22.9
IN-SD-21	R+23.9

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