How did MN-SD-31, Minnesota vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MN-SD-31, Minnesota voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+25.4. Kamala D Harris received 19,755 votes and Donald Trump received 33,614 out of 54,485 total votes cast, a 11.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is MN-SD-31, Minnesota's political history?

MN-SD-31, Minnesota has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 15.0 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of MN-SD-31, Minnesota?

MN-SD-31, Minnesota has a population of 85,863 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 86.1% non-Hispanic white, 2.8% Hispanic, 3.1% Black.

Which places are most similar to MN-SD-31, Minnesota?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state senate districts to MN-SD-31, Minnesota are Kentucky State Senate District 17, Indiana State Senate District 16, Minnesota State Senate District 29. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Minnesota State Senate District 31

Minnesota · Latest: 2024↓ R+11.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 11.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 86K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Kentucky State Senate District 17KY

Regional Republican

R+34.7

Similarity score95%

Indiana State Senate District 16IN

Urban Competitive

R+19.7

Similarity score95%

Minnesota State Senate District 29MN

Regional Republican

R+31.8

Similarity score95%

Indiana State Senate District 28IN

Regional Republican

R+27.6

Similarity score95%

Minnesota State Senate District 13MN

Regional Republican

R+34.3

Similarity score94%

Minnesota State Senate District 30MN

Regional Republican

R+25.3

Similarity score94%

Indiana State Senate District 41IN

Regional Republican

R+32.5

Similarity score93%

Idaho State Senate District 22ID

Urban Competitive

R+28.1

Similarity score92%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MN-SD-31's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Minnesota State Senate District 31 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MN-SD-31Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 86.1%Multiracial 4.6%Black 3.1%Asian 2.9%Hispanic 2.8%Native American 0.4%

Group	MN-SD-31	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	86.1%	75.9%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	4.6%	4.7%	4.0%
Black / African American	3.1%	7.0%	12.2%
Asian	2.9%	5.1%	6.0%
Hispanic / Latino	2.8%	6.4%	19.3%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Minnesota State Senate District 31? 85,863 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MN-SD-31 vs Minnesota vs National86K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

86K

local

86KState 5.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.3%

local

75.3%State 74.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $90,564National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 72.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 8.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 87.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MN-SD-31

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

84.3%

vs Previous

-75.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

64,615

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is MN-SD-31?

Safe RAvg margin: R+22.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+17.6

2012

R+19.1

2016

R+28.9

2020

R+13.9

2024

R+25.4

Elasticity

15.0pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+21.0

Other Minnesota State Senate Districts

66 total

Name	Margin ↓
MN-SD-61	D+77.2
MN-SD-63	D+76.8
MN-SD-62	D+75.9
MN-SD-60	D+68.3
MN-SD-64	D+67.4
MN-SD-59	D+66.4
MN-SD-66	D+58.5
MN-SD-65	D+54.4
MN-SD-46	D+48.6
MN-SD-43	D+45.0
MN-SD-51	D+39.1
MN-SD-08	D+39.0
MN-SD-38	D+39.0
MN-SD-67	D+37.4
MN-SD-50	D+35.5
MN-SD-39	D+34.3
MN-SD-40	D+32.8
MN-SD-52	D+28.5
MN-SD-49	D+28.4
MN-SD-42	D+26.8
MN-SD-25	D+21.9
MN-SD-47	D+21.8
MN-SD-44	D+20.5
MN-SD-56	D+18.2
MN-SD-53	D+16.9

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