Montana State Senate District 48
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 24K residents
Montana State Senate District 48 is a state senate district that has a population of 23,877. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+17.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.0% | 39.3% | D+17.7 | R+4.8 |
| 2020* | 59.7% | 37.2% | D+22.5 | D+10.2 |
| 2016* | 51.1% | 38.7% | D+12.3 | R+5.5 |
| 2012* | 57.3% | 39.5% | D+17.8 | R+9.4 |
| 2008* | 62.2% | 34.9% | D+27.2 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines MT-SD-48?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Similar state senate districts
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 70.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
- Swung 4.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | MT-SD-48 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 84.2% | 83.6% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 4.4% | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 3.1% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
Asian | 1.5% | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 0.8% | 0.5% | 12.2% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% | <0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Montana State Senate District 48? 23,877 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in MT-SD-48
How competitive is MT-SD-48?
Other Montana State Senate Districts
49 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| MT-SD-50 | D+40.9 |
| MT-SD-45 | D+29.9 |
| MT-SD-31 | D+29.4 |
| MT-SD-46 | D+25.9 |
| MT-SD-33 | D+21.8 |
| MT-SD-08 | D+15.0 |
| MT-SD-37 | D+8.6 |
| MT-SD-41 | D+6.8 |
| MT-SD-16 | D+4.3 |
| MT-SD-49 | D+3.8 |
| MT-SD-32 | D+3.0 |
| MT-SD-42 | D+2.5 |
| MT-SD-24 | D+2.1 |
| MT-SD-25 | R+4.1 |
| MT-SD-47 | R+5.6 |
| MT-SD-12 | R+9.6 |
| MT-SD-13 | R+10.2 |
| MT-SD-21 | R+10.3 |
| MT-SD-03 | R+12.0 |
| MT-SD-30 | R+13.5 |
| MT-SD-38 | R+13.5 |
| MT-SD-26 | R+16.4 |
| MT-SD-40 | R+18.5 |
| MT-SD-39 | R+18.5 |
| MT-SD-11 | R+22.1 |