North Carolina State Senate District 15
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.1pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 198K residents
North Carolina State Senate District 15 is a state senate district that has a population of 198,416. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+36.0. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66.8% | 30.8% | D+36.0 | D+4.1 |
| 2020* | 65.0% | 33.0% | D+32.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2016* | 62.5% | 31.6% | D+30.9 | D+12.1 |
| 2012* | 59.4% | 40.6% | D+18.8 | R+3.2 |
| 2008* | 60.4% | 38.4% | D+22.1 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines NC-SD-15?
NC-SD-15 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 17pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state senate districts
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 36.0% margin
- Shifted 17.2 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | NC-SD-15 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 65.7% | 60.0% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 13.6% | 20.3% | 12.2% |
Hispanic / Latino | 10.1% | 11.3% | 19.3% |
Asian | 6.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in North Carolina State Senate District 15? 198,416 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in NC-SD-15
How competitive is NC-SD-15?
Other North Carolina State Senate Districts
49 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| NC-SD-22 | D+58.5 |
| NC-SD-38 | D+58.2 |
| NC-SD-28 | D+50.4 |
| NC-SD-20 | D+43.8 |
| NC-SD-14 | D+38.9 |
| NC-SD-40 | D+36.5 |
| NC-SD-41 | D+34.8 |
| NC-SD-16 | D+32.6 |
| NC-SD-39 | D+30.6 |
| NC-SD-49 | D+30.2 |
| NC-SD-23 | D+29.9 |
| NC-SD-13 | D+29.8 |
| NC-SD-32 | D+22.3 |
| NC-SD-42 | D+14.2 |
| NC-SD-27 | D+13.4 |
| NC-SD-05 | D+9.6 |
| NC-SD-17 | D+7.0 |
| NC-SD-19 | D+7.0 |
| NC-SD-18 | D+3.6 |
| NC-SD-07 | R+0.9 |
| NC-SD-03 | R+3.3 |
| NC-SD-11 | R+3.5 |
| NC-SD-21 | R+5.9 |
| NC-SD-34 | R+6.1 |
| NC-SD-04 | R+10.0 |