New York State Senate District 38
Leans Republican — shifted 13.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 324K residents
New York State Senate District 38 is a state senate district that has a population of 323,516. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+11.0. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.0% | 55.0% | R+11.0 | R+13.4 |
| 2020* | 50.6% | 48.3% | D+2.3 | R+6.1 |
| 2016* | 52.4% | 44.0% | D+8.4 | 0.0 |
| 2012* | 54.2% | 45.8% | D+8.4 | D+0.8 |
| 2008* | 53.3% | 45.8% | D+7.5 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines NY-SD-38?
NY-SD-38 flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- Swung 13.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 19.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | NY-SD-38 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 60.7% | 52.8% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.5% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 10.7% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
Asian | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Who lives in New York State Senate District 38? 323,516 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in NY-SD-38
How competitive is NY-SD-38?
Other New York State Senate Districts
62 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| NY-SD-25 | D+79.9 |
| NY-SD-20 | D+76.1 |
| NY-SD-30 | D+75.1 |
| NY-SD-47 | D+71.0 |
| NY-SD-19 | D+70.5 |
| NY-SD-36 | D+65.3 |
| NY-SD-59 | D+61.1 |
| NY-SD-27 | D+60.6 |
| NY-SD-29 | D+56.0 |
| NY-SD-28 | D+55.9 |
| NY-SD-26 | D+54.4 |
| NY-SD-14 | D+52.8 |
| NY-SD-21 | D+51.2 |
| NY-SD-18 | D+48.3 |
| NY-SD-32 | D+47.5 |
| NY-SD-31 | D+45.9 |
| NY-SD-33 | D+38.8 |
| NY-SD-10 | D+38.7 |
| NY-SD-63 | D+31.9 |
| NY-SD-34 | D+30.8 |
| NY-SD-55 | D+28.3 |
| NY-SD-35 | D+25.0 |
| NY-SD-06 | D+23.3 |
| NY-SD-37 | D+22.7 |
| NY-SD-56 | D+22.4 |