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New York State Senate District 51

New York State Senate District 51

New York · Latest: 2024↓ R+5.7 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 323K residents

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New York State Senate District 51 is a state senate district that has a population of 322,945. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+14.5. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

New York State Senate District 51 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202442.4%57.0%R+14.5R+5.7
2020*44.5%53.4%R+8.9D+7.7
2016*38.6%55.2%R+16.6R+17.1
2012*50.2%49.8%D+0.4R+2.6
2008*50.2%47.2%D+3.0—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines NY-SD-51?

NY-SD-51 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (2D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NY-SD-51's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2012 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
  • Turnout decreased by 59.3 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
NY-SD-51Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 81.5%Hispanic 8.5%Multiracial 4.2%Black 4.2%Asian 1.3%Native American 0.4%
GroupNY-SD-51StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
81.5%52.8%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
8.5%19.8%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.2%3.4%4.0%
Black / African American
4.2%14.4%12.2%
Asian
1.3%9.1%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.4%0.6%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New York State Senate District 51? 322,945 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
NY-SD-51 vs New York vs National323K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
323K
local
323KState 19.9MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.10%
local
0.10%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
81.0%
local
81.0%State 76.5%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $89,823National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 14.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 40.0%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 54.4%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.9%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 22.8%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 30.9%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 69.1%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in NY-SD-51

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
61.1%
vs Previous
-59.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
261,513
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is NY-SD-51?

Likely RAvg margin: R+13.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+3.0
2012
D+0.4
2016
R+16.6
2020
R+8.9
2024
R+14.5
Elasticity
19.6pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+7.3

Other New York State Senate Districts

62 total
NameMargin ↓
NY-SD-25D+79.9
NY-SD-20D+76.1
NY-SD-30D+75.1
NY-SD-47D+71.0
NY-SD-19D+70.5
NY-SD-36D+65.3
NY-SD-59D+61.1
NY-SD-27D+60.6
NY-SD-29D+56.0
NY-SD-28D+55.9
NY-SD-26D+54.4
NY-SD-14D+52.8
NY-SD-21D+51.2
NY-SD-18D+48.3
NY-SD-32D+47.5
NY-SD-31D+45.9
NY-SD-33D+38.8
NY-SD-10D+38.7
NY-SD-63D+31.9
NY-SD-34D+30.8
NY-SD-55D+28.3
NY-SD-35D+25.0
NY-SD-06D+23.3
NY-SD-37D+22.7
NY-SD-56D+22.4
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