How did OR-SD-02, Oregon vote in the 2024 presidential election?

OR-SD-02, Oregon voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+31.1. Kamala D Harris received 26,287 votes and Donald Trump received 51,159 out of 79,862 total votes cast, a 2.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is OR-SD-02, Oregon's political history?

OR-SD-02, Oregon has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 8.7 points in 2012.

What are the demographics of OR-SD-02, Oregon?

OR-SD-02, Oregon has a population of 141,786 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 82.6% non-Hispanic white, 8.0% Hispanic.

Which places are most similar to OR-SD-02, Oregon?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state senate districts to OR-SD-02, Oregon are Wisconsin State Senate District 11, Arkansas State Senate District 23, Indiana State Senate District 23. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Oregon State Senate District 2

Oregon · Latest: 2024↓ R+2.0 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 142K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Wisconsin State Senate District 11WI

Urban Competitive 2

R+14.8

Similarity score96%

Arkansas State Senate District 23AR

Suburban Republican

R+60.5

Similarity score95%

Indiana State Senate District 23IN

Urban Competitive 2

R+26.2

Similarity score94%

Pennsylvania State Senate District 23PA

Suburban Republican

R+41.9

Similarity score94%

Indiana State Senate District 48IN

Suburban Republican

R+44.5

Similarity score94%

Pennsylvania State Senate District 33PA

Urban Competitive 2

R+39.1

Similarity score94%

West Virginia State Senate District 6WV

Suburban Republican

R+62.3

Similarity score93%

Rhode Island State Senate District 21RI

Urban Competitive 2

R+18.6

Similarity score93%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore OR-SD-02's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Oregon State Senate District 2 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

OR-SD-02Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 82.6%Hispanic 8.0%Multiracial 6.4%Native American 1.3%Asian 1.0%Black 0.5%

Group	OR-SD-02	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	82.6%	71.4%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	8.0%	14.7%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	6.4%	6.0%	4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	1.3%	1.1%	0.9%
Asian	1.0%	4.5%	6.0%
Black / African American	0.5%	1.9%	12.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Oregon State Senate District 2? 141,786 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

OR-SD-02 vs Oregon vs National142K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

142K

local

142KState 4.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

81.1%

local

81.1%State 77.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $84,541National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 36.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 63.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 19.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 84.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in OR-SD-02

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

69.5%

vs Previous

-3.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

114,991

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is OR-SD-02?

Safe RAvg margin: R+31.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+16.5

2012

R+25.3

2016

R+33.3

2020

R+29.1

2024

R+31.1

Elasticity

16.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+27.1

Other Oregon State Senate Districts

29 total

Name	Margin ↓
OR-SD-22	D+81.0
OR-SD-21	D+72.2
OR-SD-23	D+67.9
OR-SD-14	D+61.8
OR-SD-17	D+61.5
OR-SD-19	D+44.2
OR-SD-04	D+38.9
OR-SD-18	D+32.7
OR-SD-07	D+30.1
OR-SD-13	D+29.1
OR-SD-15	D+25.5
OR-SD-24	D+23.7
OR-SD-08	D+23.2
OR-SD-27	D+22.8
OR-SD-10	D+15.5
OR-SD-20	D+13.7
OR-SD-25	D+13.1
OR-SD-03	D+12.1
OR-SD-11	D+5.0
OR-SD-05	D+2.9
OR-SD-16	R+3.5
OR-SD-26	R+6.8
OR-SD-12	R+10.7
OR-SD-06	R+22.3
OR-SD-09	R+27.6

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