Question 1

How did Arizona vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Arizona voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+5.5. Kamala D Harris received 1,582,860 votes and Donald Trump received 1,770,242 out of 3,400,986 total votes cast, a 5.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Arizona's political history?

Accepted Answer

Arizona has 29 presidential elections on record, spanning 1912 to 2024. Democrats have won 9 and Republicans 20 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 51.8 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Arizona?

Accepted Answer

Arizona has a population of 7,378,838 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 52.6% non-Hispanic white, 31.4% Hispanic, 4.6% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $80,891.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Arizona?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar states to Arizona are New Mexico, Texas, California. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Arizona

2008 → 2024

Census race profile

Census ACS, 5-year

Religion Census, ACS B16001

County-Level Results

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