Connecticut
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.2% |
Hispanic / Latino | 17.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 10.8% |
Asian | 4.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.6% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 28.4% | 60.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.9% | 14.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.8% | 12.3% |
| Other | 4.2% | 8.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.5% | 3.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 52.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+14.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+20.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+13.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+22.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+10.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+17.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+18.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.4 |
Connecticut has a population of 3,605,944. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+14.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.4% | 41.9% | D+14.5 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 59.2% | 39.2% | D+20.0 | D+6.4 |
| 2016 | 54.6% | 40.9% | D+13.6 | R+3.7 |
| 2012 | 58.1% | 40.7% | D+17.3 | R+5.0 |
| 2008 | 60.6% | 38.2% | D+22.4 | D+12.0 |
| 2004 | 54.3% | 43.9% | D+10.4 | R+7.1 |
| 2000 | 55.9% | 38.4% | D+17.5 | R+0.7 |
| 1996 | 52.8% | 34.7% | D+18.1 | D+11.7 |
| 1992 | 42.2% | 35.8% | D+6.4 | D+11.5 |
| 1988 | 46.9% | 52.0% | R+5.1 | D+16.8 |
| 1984 | 38.8% | 60.7% | R+21.9 | R+12.3 |
| 1980 | 38.5% | 48.2% | R+9.6 | R+4.5 |
| 1976 | 47.1% | 52.3% | R+5.2 | D+13.3 |
| 1972 | 40.2% | 58.6% | R+18.5 | R+23.6 |
| 1968 | 49.5% | 44.4% | D+5.2 | R+30.6 |
| 1964 | 67.8% | 32.1% | D+35.7 | D+28.3 |
| 1960 | 53.7% | 46.3% | D+7.5 | D+34.9 |
| 1956 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.5 | R+15.7 |
| 1952 | 43.9% | 55.7% | R+11.8 | R+10.2 |
| 1948 | 47.9% | 49.5% | R+1.6 | — |
What defines Connecticut?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 42% — 9pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
- Swung 5.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024