New Jersey
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 22.5% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 12.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 10.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 31.8% | 61.3% |
| Other | 8.3% | 15.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.1% | 9.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.2% | 8.1% |
| Black Protestant | 1.7% | 3.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 48.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+5.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+15.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+14.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+15.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+6.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+15.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+17.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.4 |
New Jersey has a population of 9,343,809. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+5.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.0% | 46.1% | D+5.9 | R+10.0 |
| 2020 | 57.1% | 41.3% | D+15.9 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 55.0% | 41.0% | D+14.0 | R+3.8 |
| 2012 | 58.2% | 40.5% | D+17.7 | D+2.2 |
| 2008 | 57.1% | 41.6% | D+15.5 | D+8.8 |
| 2004 | 52.9% | 46.2% | D+6.7 | R+9.2 |
| 2000 | 56.1% | 40.3% | D+15.8 | R+2.0 |
| 1996 | 53.7% | 35.9% | D+17.9 | D+15.5 |
| 1992 | 43.0% | 40.6% | D+2.4 | D+16.0 |
| 1988 | 42.6% | 56.2% | R+13.6 | D+7.3 |
| 1984 | 39.2% | 60.1% | R+20.9 | R+7.5 |
| 1980 | 38.6% | 52.0% | R+13.4 | R+11.3 |
| 1976 | 47.9% | 50.1% | R+2.2 | D+22.6 |
| 1972 | 36.8% | 61.6% | R+24.8 | R+22.7 |
| 1968 | 44.0% | 46.1% | R+2.1 | R+33.9 |
| 1964 | 65.6% | 33.9% | D+31.7 | D+31.0 |
| 1960 | 50.0% | 49.2% | D+0.8 | D+31.3 |
| 1956 | 34.2% | 64.7% | R+30.5 | R+15.7 |
| 1952 | 42.0% | 56.8% | R+14.8 | R+10.4 |
| 1948 | 45.9% | 50.3% | R+4.4 | — |
What defines New Jersey?
It has a heavily immigrant community where nativity and ethnic networks shape the political landscape.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 43% — 10pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
- Turnout decreased by 4.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election