New Mexico
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 36.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 48.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 2.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 9.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.9% | 56.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.9% | 24.6% |
| Other | 6.9% | 13.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.3% | 6.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 4.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 47.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+6.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+10.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+8.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+10.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+15.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+0.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.6 |
New Mexico has a population of 2,120,246. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+6.0. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.9% | 45.9% | D+6.0 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 54.3% | 43.5% | D+10.8 | D+2.6 |
| 2016 | 48.3% | 40.0% | D+8.2 | R+1.9 |
| 2012 | 53.0% | 42.8% | D+10.1 | R+5.0 |
| 2008 | 56.9% | 41.8% | D+15.1 | D+15.9 |
| 2004 | 49.0% | 49.8% | R+0.8 | R+0.9 |
| 2000 | 47.9% | 47.8% | D+0.1 | R+7.3 |
| 1996 | 49.2% | 41.9% | D+7.3 | R+1.2 |
| 1992 | 45.9% | 37.3% | D+8.6 | D+13.5 |
| 1988 | 46.9% | 51.9% | R+5.0 | D+15.5 |
| 1984 | 39.2% | 59.7% | R+20.5 | R+2.3 |
| 1980 | 36.8% | 55.0% | R+18.2 | R+15.7 |
| 1976 | 48.3% | 50.7% | R+2.5 | D+22.0 |
| 1972 | 36.6% | 61.0% | R+24.5 | R+12.4 |
| 1968 | 39.7% | 51.8% | R+12.1 | R+30.7 |
| 1964 | 59.0% | 40.4% | D+18.6 | D+18.2 |
| 1960 | 50.2% | 49.8% | D+0.5 | D+16.7 |
| 1956 | 41.9% | 58.1% | R+16.3 | R+4.8 |
| 1952 | 44.3% | 55.7% | R+11.4 | R+24.2 |
| 1948 | 56.4% | 43.6% | D+12.8 | — |
What defines New Mexico?
New Mexico has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- Swung 4.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024