Texas
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 39.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 39.7% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.7% | 42.8% |
| Catholic | 19.6% | 36.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 8.2% |
| Other | 4.1% | 7.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.2% | 4.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 46.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+13.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+5.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.5 |
Texas has a population of 30,188,424. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+13.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.5% | 56.1% | R+13.7 | R+8.1 |
| 2020 | 46.5% | 52.0% | R+5.6 | D+3.4 |
| 2016 | 43.1% | 52.1% | R+9.0 | D+6.8 |
| 2012 | 41.4% | 57.1% | R+15.8 | R+4.0 |
| 2008 | 43.6% | 55.4% | R+11.8 | D+11.1 |
| 2004 | 38.2% | 61.1% | R+22.9 | R+1.5 |
| 2000 | 38.0% | 59.3% | R+21.3 | R+16.4 |
| 1996 | 43.8% | 48.8% | R+4.9 | R+1.4 |
| 1992 | 37.1% | 40.6% | R+3.5 | D+9.1 |
| 1988 | 43.3% | 56.0% | R+12.6 | D+14.9 |
| 1984 | 36.1% | 63.6% | R+27.5 | R+13.6 |
| 1980 | 41.4% | 55.3% | R+13.9 | R+17.0 |
| 1976 | 51.1% | 48.0% | D+3.2 | D+36.1 |
| 1972 | 33.2% | 66.2% | R+33.0 | R+34.2 |
| 1968 | 41.1% | 39.9% | D+1.3 | R+25.6 |
| 1964 | 63.3% | 36.5% | D+26.8 | D+24.8 |
| 1960 | 50.5% | 48.5% | D+2.0 | D+13.3 |
| 1956 | 44.0% | 55.3% | R+11.3 | R+4.9 |
| 1952 | 46.7% | 53.1% | R+6.4 | R+48.1 |
| 1948 | 66.0% | 24.3% | D+41.7 | — |
What defines Texas?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 8.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Religious adherence of 53.2% ranks 11th of 51 states — top quartile nationally