Safe Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992
POPULATION
647K
VAP
507K
TURNOUT
72.9%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
GOVERNOR
Scott
(R)
2024 PRES
D+31.5
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 90% non-Hispanic white (+33pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 36pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 87.4pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.