Safe Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968
POPULATION
582K
VAP
438K
TURNOUT
61.5%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
GOVERNOR
Gordon
(R)
2024 PRES
R+45.8
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 81% non-Hispanic white (+24pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 80.0pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.