The 2020→2024 county-level shift within Michigan, named specifically and quantified.

Shared answer — read-onlyOpen in Atlas

Michigan counties that flipped 2020 to 2024

Drafted the plan
Found mi_flipped_counties
Writing the big picture (2)
Drawing the map (3)
Analyzing the flip (4)
Charting the trend (5)
Reading the demographics (6)
Building the comparison (7)

Answer readycached

Scroll to read the full answer

From cache

The big picture

Headline numbers at a glance

R+3.9

Lean Score: EVEN
2020 margin: D+5.4
2024 turnout: 29.6%

34166K pop

On the map

Where the answer lives

mi_flipped_counties, drawn against its containing state.

Primary shape: mi_flipped_counties
Shown alongside: 3 regions · CA

Center point: 40.28°N, 105.66°W
Detail level: 4
Size: 96.00° × 43.16°

What changed

From one party to the other

Flipped R from 2020 to 2024. -9.1 points.

From 2020D+4.1

To 2024R+5.0

Net swing, 2020 to 2024-9.1 pts

Over time

Cycle-by-cycle arc

Shifted 9.6 pts left across 16 years.

Hover a cycle to see its margin and turnout.

Who lives there

Population, income, education

Racial makeup

white 53.1%Black 10.1%Hispanic 35.0%Asian 5.4%

Population & people

Population: 34,166,097
Voting-age adults: 26,275,430

Methodology & sources (6)

Spatial rollup via ST_Intersects against 22,454 block-group(s).
Spatial selection is inclusive-intersect (boundary BGs counted in full); no area-weighted partial inclusion in v1.
pct_non_hispanic_white is approximate: computed as (pop_white - pop_hispanic) / total_population. PL 94-171 race/ethnicity cross-tabs are not available at block-group resolution.
median_age not aggregable at block-group in v1; returned null.
ACS socioeconomic data (income, college, poverty, foreign-born) not available at block-group level in v1; aggregate county-level ACS is a Phase 2 enhancement.
No containing-geography race breakdown available; contrasting_dimension omitted.

How it compares

Against county, state, and national

Geography	2016	2020	2024	Change since 2016
mi_flipped_counties	D+5.5	D+5.4	R+3.9	-9.3 pts
Kern	R+12.7	R+10.2	R+21.1	-8.4 pts
California	D+30.0	D+29.2	D+20.1	-9.8 pts
CA-20	R+28.4	R+26.2	R+32.2	-3.8 pts

mi_flipped_counties-9.3 pts
2016
D+5.5
2020
D+5.4
2024
R+3.9
Kern-8.4 pts
2016
R+12.7
2020
R+10.2
2024
R+21.1
California-9.8 pts
2016
D+30.0
2020
D+29.2
2024
D+20.1
CA-20-3.8 pts
2016
R+28.4
2020
R+26.2
2024
R+32.2

Cite this answer

Stable URL · permalinks never change

Akashic Atlas, "The 2020→2024 county-level shift within Michigan, named specifically and quantified", answer ID 1EF8LAhUqn1S, generated 2026-04-27, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/1EF8LAhUqn1S

Atlas answered this. Ask a follow-up.