One moment…
One moment…
The flip stories — counties and states whose margins changed direction between Biden and Trump, plus the trajectories that set them up.
The long shifts. Multi-cycle trajectories that span at least Obama → Trump, plus the realignments that defined them.
PA, GA, OH, AZ, MI, WI — the six states where 2026 control gets decided, viewed through trends, flips, and peer geography.
What drove Cole’s 2020→ 2024 swing?
Cole County held at R+34.4 in 2024, barely moving from R+33.9 in 2020 — but the read isn't the swing, it's the 33.
Which counties vote most like Glenn?
The query for counties most similar to Glenn County, CA returned no peer matches, no demographic profile, and no…
Allegheny County, PA
Allegheny County voted D+20.3 in 2024, running 22.0 points to the left of Pennsylvania's R+1.
How did Bancroft Village vote in 2024?
Bancroft Village voted R+31.1 in 2024, the fifth straight cycle moving right and the deepest margin yet in a 40.
What drove Boone’s 2020→ 2024 swing?
How has Dewitt split its ticket since 2012?
DeWitt voted R+67.0 in 2024, capping a 19.2-point rightward drift since 2008 that ran through every cycle except a 1.
How has Falmouth Foreside CDP trended since 2012?
What drove Mason’s 2020→ 2024 swing?
Mason shifted 1.4 points left between 2020 and 2024 to land at R+2.5, the third straight cycle of Democratic gains…
Which counties vote most like Highlands?
The peer-county lookup for Highlands returned no matches — no margin, no demographic profile, no trend cycles, no peer…
Which counties vote most like Buena Vista City?
The peer-county comparison for Buena Vista City returned no matches, no demographic payload, and no historical cycles…
What’s the partisan lean of WA-01 relative to its state?
WA-01 voted D+28.5 in 2024, opening a 29.9-point gap with the national R+1.4 result while Washington as a whole ran…
Compare Gore, Kerry, Clinton, and Harris coalitions
How has Legacy FIPS 36000 split its ticket since 2012?
New York's presidential margin has compressed from D+28.2 in 2012 to D+13.2 in 2024, a 14.9-point rightward arc that's…
How has Columbine CDP trended since 2012?
Which counties vote most like Madera?
The peer-county lookup for Madera came back empty: no peer list, no demographic payload, no historical cycles, and no…
Tell me about Allegheny County, PA
Allegheny County voted D+20.3 in 2024 while Pennsylvania ran R+1.7 — a 22.0-point gap between the county and the state…
Which counties vote most like Lee?
Lee County's peer-matching run returned no county comparisons — the cluster lookup came back empty, and the…
Which counties are most similar to Luzerne County, PA?
Luzerne County's peer set could not be resolved in this run — the comparison list returned empty, and the underlying…
30 minutes from downtown Atlanta
15-minute drive from downtown Pittsburgh
Where has Georgia trended since 2008?
Georgia ended 2024 at R+2.2, 3.0 points to the left of where it sat under Obama in 2008
How has Wisconsin moved since 2000?
Wisconsin sits at R+0.9 in 2024, finishing a 24-year arc just 1.1 points right of where it started in 2000 — a state…
Counties most like Cuyahoga County, OH
Counties similar to Allegheny County, PA