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Metcalfe County's cross-office partisan behavior since 2012 — where presidential vote diverged from senate and gubernatorial vote, and how…
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Headline numbers at a glance
Metcalfe County voted R+64.6 in 2024, a 5.1-point rightward shift from R+59.5 in 2020. The lean score sits at R+61.8, with 2024 turnout at 33.2%.
Where the answer lives
Metcalfe in Kentucky, drawn against the state outline.
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Metcalfe County swung 24.5 points right in a single cycle between 2012 and 2016, breaking from R+29.9 to R+54.4. That one break drives the full 34.7-point rightward arc across 12 years, ending at R+64.6 in 2024. The two cycles since have added another 5.1 and 5.1 points right, a steady grind rather than a second shock. 2012 stands alone in the span as the only cycle with a presidential margin tighter than R+54.4.
Shifted 34.7 pts left across 12 years.
Against county, state, and national
Metcalfe ran R+64.6 in 2024 while the United States came in R+1.4 — a 63.2-point gap between the county and its national frame. Kentucky overall sat at R+30.5 and KY-1 at R+47.3, with each level stepping further right toward Metcalfe at the far end. Met
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metcalfe | R+54.4 | R+59.5 | R+64.6 | -34.7 pts |
| Kentucky | R+29.8 | R+25.9 | R+30.5 | -0.7 pts |
| KY-1 | R+44.3 | R+42.8 | R+47.3 | -3.0 pts |
| United States | D+2.1 | D+4.5 | R+1.4 | -3.5 pts |
Population, income, education
Metcalfe County is 96.7% non-Hispanic white across 10,000 people, with a foreign-born share of 0.18%. Median household income sits at $23,540 and the poverty rate runs 23.6%. Just 6.6% of adults hold a bachelor's degree.
Akashic Atlas, "Metcalfe County's cross-office partisan behavior since 2012 — where presidential vote diverged from senate and gubernatorial vote, and how…", answer ID 2K771VTsM3TA, generated 2026-04-29, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/2K771VTsM3TA
Atlas answered this. Ask a follow-up.
Which counties in Pennsylvania have shown similar ticket-splitting patterns to Metcalfe since 2012?
What percentage of Metcalfe voters backed Republican Senate candidates while voting Democratic for governor in 2022?
Did Metcalfe's ticket-splitting increase or decrease between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections?