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Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups as a statewide political bloc, with a specific multi-cycle arc.
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Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups — 6.93 million people, 81.7% Hispanic — swung 19.2 points right across the 16-year arc from 2008 to 2024, ending at D+6.9 after peaking at D+34.4 in 2016. The break is concentrated in one cycle: a 17.0-point rightward shift between 2020 and 2024 that erased everything Obama and Clinton had built with this bloc. Webb County carries the sharpest version of the same trajectory, collapsing 53.2 points from D+51.0 in 2016 to R+2.2 in 2024 while statewide Texas moved just 4.7 points right over the same span.
Headline numbers at a glance
Where the answer lives
hispanic_60pct_tx in Texas, drawn against the surrounding county.
Population, income, education
Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups cover 6.93 million people and a voting-age population of 4.97 million, with Hispanic residents at 81.7% of the total. Black residents make up 5.2% and Asian residents 1.4%, leaving a small non-Hispanic share outside the Hispanic plurality. Age and socioeconomic detail aren't resolvable at block-group level in this rollup, so the demographic read here is composition only.
Against county, state, and national
Webb County is the standout row, swinging 53.2 points right from D+51.0 in 2016 to R+2.2 in 2024. TX-28, which contains Webb and runs along the border, tracks the same arc at a smaller magnitude — D+25.5 to R+10.4, a 35.9-point shift. Texas overall moved just 4.7 points right across the same span, ending at R+13.7. Webb's 2024 turnout of 18.6% sits 54.8 points below the TX-28 figure of 73.4%.
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| hispanic_60pct_tx | — | — | — | — |
| Webb | D+51.0 | D+23.3 | R+2.2 | -53.2 pts |
| Texas | R+9.0 | R+5.6 | R+13.7 | -4.7 pts |
| TX-28 | D+25.5 | D+9.7 | R+10.4 | -35.9 pts |
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups swung 17.0 points right between 2020 and 2024, collapsing from D+23.9 to D+6.9 in a single cycle. That break drives the entire 19.2-point rightward arc across the 16-year span — through 2016, the bloc was still moving left, peaking at D+34.4 under Clinton. The 2016→2020 cycle shaved 10.6 points off that peak, and 2020→2024 took another 17.0. Two consecutive rightward cycles erased everything Obama and Clinton had built and then some, leaving the 2024 margin 19.2 points below the 2008 starting point of D+26.1.
Shifted 19.2 pts left across 16 years.
Akashic Atlas, "Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups as a statewide political bloc, with a specific multi-cycle arc", answer ID Ak35-G_0jU-e, generated 2026-04-27, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/Ak35-G_0jU-e
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