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One Nevada Assembly district's presidential voting profile, set against the state and national baselines.
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Assembly District 21 voted R+5.4 in 2024 inside a Milwaukee County that ran D+38.4 — a 43.8-point gap between the district and its containing county that points to a suburban pocket cut out of a deep-blue metro. The district sits at 67.7% non-Hispanic white across 96,000 people and has drifted 1.8 points right since 2020, while Wisconsin overall moved just 0.1. The 16-year arc is 4.9 points right of where it started in 2008, with 2012 as the inflection.
Headline numbers at a glance
Where the answer lives
Assembly District 21, a custom area drawn over Wisconsin.
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Shifted 4.9 pts left across 16 years.
Population, income, education
AD-21 is plurality white at 78.4% across 95,614 people, with a non-Hispanic white share of roughly 67.7%. Hispanic residents make up 10.7% and Asian residents 5.5%, the two largest non-white groups in the district. Voting-age population stands at 75,513.
Against county, state, and national
AD-21 ran R+5.4 in 2024 while Milwaukee, the containing geography, posted D+38.4 — a 43.8-point gap that puts the district on the opposite side of the ledger from its parent. Wisconsin sat at R+0.9 and WI-1 at R+4.5, both within a few points of the district. The shape is a Republican island inside a heavily Democratic city.
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assembly District 21 | R+7.1 | R+3.7 | R+5.4 | -4.9 pts |
| Milwaukee | D+36.9 | D+39.9 | D+38.4 | +1.5 pts |
| Wisconsin | R+0.8 | D+0.6 | R+0.9 | -0.1 pts |
| WI-1 | R+2.7 | R+2.0 | R+4.5 | -1.8 pts |
| United States | D+2.1 | D+4.5 | R+1.4 | -3.5 pts |
Akashic Atlas, "One Nevada Assembly district's presidential voting profile, set against the state and national baselines", answer ID dw7MVxFKuk9y, generated 2026-04-29, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/dw7MVxFKuk9y
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