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Texas's 60%+ Hispanic block cohort — its size, where it concentrates, and how its partisan lean has moved across five cycles.
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Texas blocks at least 60% Hispanic voted D+6.9 in 2024 while the state ran R+13.7 — a 20.6-point gap that leaves this 6.93-million-person cohort as the only Democratic-leaning slice of the state. The headline isn't the margin, it's the trajectory: the cohort swung 17.0 points right in a single cycle (2020→2024), an order of magnitude above the 1-3 point moves typical at this geography. Webb County collapsed even harder (R+2.2 in 2024 from D+23.3 in 2020), and TX-28 followed at R+10.4, putting the South Texas Hispanic vote on a cycle-over-cycle break that the broader state trend can't explain.
Headline numbers at a glance
Where the answer lives
hispanic_60_blocks_tx in Texas, drawn against the surrounding county.
Population, income, education
The Hispanic-majority block cohort spans 6.93 million Texans and 4.97 million of voting age, rolled up from 4,693 block groups. Hispanic residents make up 81.7% of the cohort, with 33.9% white, 5.2% Black, and 1.4% Asian. Median age and ACS measures (income, education, poverty, foreign-born) are not available at block-group resolution in this rollup.
Against county, state, and national
The 60%+ Hispanic block cohort came in at D+6.9 in 2024 while Texas overall ran R+13.7 — a 20.6-point gap that puts the cohort on the opposite side of the state's headline read. Webb County landed at R+2.2 and TX-28 at R+10.4, both right of the cohort but well left of the statewide number. The cohort is the only row still on the Democratic side of the ledger.
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| hispanic_60_blocks_tx | D+34.4 | D+23.9 | D+6.9 | -27.5 pts |
| Webb | D+51.0 | D+23.3 | R+2.2 | -53.2 pts |
| Texas | R+9.0 | R+5.6 | R+13.7 | -4.7 pts |
| TX-28 | D+25.5 | D+9.7 | R+10.4 | -35.9 pts |
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Shifted 19.2 pts left across 16 years.
Akashic Atlas, "Texas's 60%+ Hispanic block cohort — its size, where it concentrates, and how its partisan lean has moved across five cycles", answer ID krTFa8i8FFmx, generated 2026-04-27, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/krTFa8i8FFmx
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