Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania: Diversifying Metro metro. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 873,6032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,1002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 51.7% | 240,504 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 46.8% | 217,684 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.4% | 6,667 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +16.7% |
| 1896 | +0.3% |
| 1900 | +6.3% |
| 1904 | −6.4% |
| 1908 | +2.1% |
| 1912 | +32.9% |
| 1916 | +7.3% |
| 1920 | −19.1% |
| 1924 | −27.7% |
| 1928 | −43.9% |
| 1932 | +4.0% |
| 1936 | +17.2% |
| 1940 | +8.3% |
| 1944 | +2.5% |
| 1948 | −0.1% |
| 1952 | −10.1% |
| 1956 | −21.1% |
| 1960 | −7.9% |
| 1964 | +37.8% |
| 1968 | +3.1% |
| 1972 | −21.9% |
| 1976 | +4.6% |
| 1980 | −12.7% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | −12.0% |
| 1992 | +3.0% |
| 1996 | +4.6% |
| 2000 | +0.8% |
| 2004 | −1.9% |
| 2008 | +9.4% |
| 2012 | +2.5% |
| 2016 | −5.2% |
| 2020 | −1.2% |
| 2024 | −4.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 217,684 | 240,504 | 464,855 | ||
| R | 219,488 | 224,866 | 449,609 | ||
| R | 173,816 | 194,027 | 385,978 | ||
| D | 176,214 | 167,568 | 349,377 | ||
| D | 196,436 | 162,390 | 363,922 | ||
| R | 167,653 | 174,323 | 345,191 | ||
| D | 136,975 | 134,777 | 283,075 | ||
| D | 116,789 | 105,182 | 254,642 | ||
| D | 110,988 | 102,771 | 275,522 | ||
| R | 102,809 | 131,058 | 236,298 | ||
| R | 98,551 | 139,086 | 239,379 | ||
| R | 85,266 | 113,546 | 222,148 | ||
| D | 114,163 | 103,958 | 222,347 | ||
| R | 83,442 | 130,785 | 216,538 | ||
| D | 110,043 | 103,192 | 224,103 | ||
| D | 154,366 | 69,424 | 225,011 | ||
| R | 106,123 | 124,440 | 230,958 | ||
| R | 81,666 | 125,606 | 208,198 | ||
| R | 91,671 | 112,294 | 205,044 | ||
| R | 79,445 | 79,534 | 161,820 | ||
| D | 82,802 | 78,778 | 162,276 | ||
| D | 90,017 | 76,182 | 166,918 | ||
| D | 98,851 | 69,403 | 171,525 | ||
| D | 66,458 | 61,143 | 132,022 | ||
| R | 41,685 | 107,733 | 150,413 | ||
| R | 32,210 | 61,127 | 104,577 | ||
| R | 32,197 | 48,194 | 83,543 | ||
| D | 32,393 | 27,775 | 63,087 | ||
| D | 29,474 | 9,272 | 61,438 | ||
| D | 32,202 | 30,840 | 65,928 | ||
| R | 27,418 | 31,305 | 61,197 | ||
| D | 31,218 | 27,435 | 60,272 | ||
| D | 28,023 | 27,866 | 57,858 | ||
| D | 28,762 | 20,342 | 50,492 | ||
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Demographics
Once reliably blue owing to its steel-and-manufacturing labor base, the Lehigh Valley has shifted markedly in recent cycles, with its large and growing Latino population now a closely watched variable in statewide Pennsylvania contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-eight points in 1964 and a Republican high of forty-four points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was five points.
A population of 873,603, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,100 describe the metro.
Compare two places, side by side
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Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/10900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.