akashic
1876–2024
Memphis, TN-MS-AR·Mississippi

Memphis, TN-MS-AR has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential elections — D+7 in 2024.

Majority-Black metro where Shelby County anchors Democratic margins across three states

18762024·38 elections
MS
LatestD+7in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population1,341,9242024 ACS

Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi: Industrial Catholic Metro metro. In 2024, voted D+7%. Democratic peak: D+94 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+7MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,341,9242024 5-year
Median household income
$67,4032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
41.4%2024 5-year
Black
46.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+94 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
HarrisD+7
2024 presidential margin by county for Memphis, TN-MS-AR, MSA map of the constituent counties of Memphis, TN-MS-AR, MS, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Crittenden County, AR · D+2Benton County, MS · R+31Tate County, MS · R+44Tipton County, TN · R+53Tunica County, MS · D+39Fayette County, TN · R+42Marshall County, MS · R+7Shelby County, TN · D+25DeSoto County, MS · R+24
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic52.2%264,640
Donald TrumpRepublican45.7%231,564
OtherAll other candidates2.1%10,770
D+60
R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +6.5% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+6.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+55.9%
1896+24.8%
1900+38.7%
1904+51.6%
1908+42.4%
1912+60.4%
1916+57.5%
1920+41.5%
1924+44.0%
1928+36.4%
1932+75.7%
1936+93.9%
1940+80.5%
1944+67.4%
1948+16.7%
1952+9.9%
1956+2.6%
1960+1.2%
1964+1.4%
1968+5.8%
1972−34.5%
1976+10.5%
1980+6.5%
1984−3.5%
1988−4.9%
1992+8.5%
1996+10.4%
2000+7.3%
2004+5.7%
2008+13.5%
2012+12.2%
2016+10.6%
2020+13.2%
2024+6.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+6.5%
264,640231,564506,974
D
+13.2%
313,247239,039561,602
D
+10.6%
265,987213,548496,084
D
+12.2%
297,435232,296534,925
D
+13.5%
321,271244,375569,554
D
+5.7%
269,203240,167512,403
D
+7.3%
233,152201,188440,138
D
+10.4%
223,534179,630422,789
D
+8.5%
234,986195,783460,200
R
−4.9%
182,108200,886385,400
R
−3.5%
196,392210,546409,638
D
+6.5%
197,018172,349380,201
D
+10.5%
188,004152,030344,117
R
−34.5%
94,397196,837297,252
O
+5.8%
97,21880,904280,651
D
+1.4%
123,543120,035243,647
D
+1.2%
96,74794,331198,078
D
+2.6%
74,73670,671154,980
D
+9.9%
87,48871,720159,428
O
+16.7%
28,36915,06079,853
D
+67.4%
61,66611,98573,737
D
+80.5%
73,5047,87881,498
D
+93.9%
75,7692,33778,188
D
+75.7%
49,9606,64157,211
D
+36.4%
28,16413,09841,358
D
+44.0%
21,8167,84031,756
D
+41.5%
25,17710,31635,838
D
+57.5%
19,2205,07924,577
D
+60.4%
11,5861,36216,916
D
+42.4%
11,3504,49616,171
D
+51.6%
12,9224,01717,273
D
+38.7%
13,3065,81519,333
D
+24.8%
15,0568,97124,552
D
+55.9%
13,9493,30919,030
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
8.0%
American
6.2%
Irish
6.0%
German
5.1%
Italian
1.8%
Scottish
1.3%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.8%
speak English only
Spanish5.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
26.5%
Other Christian
16.2%
Methodist
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Memphis metro straddles Tennessee, Mississippi, and Arkansas, with Shelby County's dense urban core driving reliably Democratic presidential margins above 60% even as surrounding exurban and rural counties trend sharply Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of ninety-four points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-four points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.

A population of 1,341,924, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,403 describe the metro.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi voted Democratic by 6.5 points (D+7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 506,974 votes cast, 264,640 went Democratic and 231,564 went Republican.
What is Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi's political typology?
Akashic places Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 3 times, and other 2 times.
When did Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi has a population of 1,341,924 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Median household income in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi is $67,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The metro's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.