akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Arkansas

Arkansas 1st Congressional District delivered R+45 in 2024.

One of the most Republican-leaning districts in the nation by 2024 margin

20082024·5 elections
AR
LatestR+45in 2024
TypologyEvangelical Deep Southcluster typology
Population807,8692024 ACS

Arkansas 1st Congressional District: Evangelical Deep South district. In 2024, voted R+45%. Republican peak: R+45 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+45MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
Population
807,8692024 5-year
Median household income
$54,3132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.9%2024 5-year
Black
17.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 2024MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
CRAWFORD, RickCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.46 sits at approximately the 73rd percentile.00.46−1 liberal+1 conservative
CRAWFORD scores 0.46 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: BERRY, Robert Marion (2009–2011), BERRY, Robert Marion (2007–2009), BERRY, Robert Marion (2005–2007), BERRY, Robert Marion (2003–2005)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 1
TrumpR+45
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 1, ARA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 1, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Woodruff County, AR · R+32Arkansas County, AR · R+44Independence County, AR · R+59Chicot County, AR · D+4Clay County, AR · R+62Prairie County, AR · R+66Lincoln County, AR · R+50Izard County, AR · R+66Craighead County, AR · R+37Cross County, AR · R+48Marion County, AR · R+60St. Francis County, AR · D+1Lee County, AR · D+4Jackson County, AR · R+49Monroe County, AR · R+16Lawrence County, AR · R+64Phillips County, AR · D+13Desha County, AR · R+5Lonoke County, AR · R+54Searcy County, AR · R+72Baxter County, AR · R+57Poinsett County, AR · R+64Sharp County, AR · R+63Crittenden County, AR · D+2Stone County, AR · R+62Fulton County, AR · R+62Boone County, AR · R+65Randolph County, AR · R+64Pulaski County, AR · D+22Greene County, AR · R+61Mississippi County, AR · R+32
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican71.7%196,032
Kamala HarrisDemocratic26.4%72,177
OtherAll other candidates1.9%5,227
D+60
R+60
31 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −45.3% in 2024.−45.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−18.7%
2012−25.6%
2016−34.9%
2020−40.9%
2024−45.3%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−45.3%
72,177196,032273,436
R
−40.9%
80,517197,835286,796
R
−34.9%
82,755178,638274,864
R
−25.6%
96,212162,431258,643
R
−18.7%
108,177160,143277,927

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R31.1%65.7%901,306
2020R0.0%66.5%1,193,261
2016R36.2%59.8%1,107,522
2014R39.4%56.5%847,505
2010R36.9%57.9%779,957
2008D79.5%0.0%1,011,754
2004D55.9%44.1%1,039,349
2002D53.9%46.1%804,121
1998D55.1%42.2%700,831
1996R47.3%52.7%846,183
1992D60.2%39.8%920,008
1990D99.8%0.0%494,735
1986D62.3%37.7%695,487
1984D57.3%42.7%875,956
1980D59.1%40.9%808,812
1978D76.5%16.3%517,138

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.1%
Irish
9.6%
German
9.2%
American
9.0%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.3%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
32.4%
Other Christian
12.8%
Methodist
5.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arkansas's 1st stretches across the Mississippi Delta and Ozark highlands, combining rural agricultural communities with small river cities. Its R+45.5 presidential margin in 2024 places it among the most consistently one-sided congressional districts in the country.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of forty-five points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-five points.

A population of 807,869, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,313 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0501/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Arkansas voted Republican by 45.3 points (R+45), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 273,436 votes cast, 72,177 went Democratic and 196,032 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 1, Arkansas in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Arkansas?
Congressional District 1, Arkansas has a population of 807,869 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Arkansas?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Arkansas is $54,313 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Arkansas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.