akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Arkansas

Arkansas 2nd Congressional District delivered R+16 in 2024.

Little Rock's district shifted 8 points rightward from 2020 to 2024

2008 — 2024·5 elections
AR
LatestR+16in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population683,3912024 ACS

Arkansas 2nd Congressional District: Industrial Catholic Metro district. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+17 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+16MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
683,3912024 5-year
Median household income
$64,9202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.2%2024 5-year
Black
19.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+17 in 2012MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
HILL, FrenchCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.43 sits at approximately the 72nd percentile.00.43−1 liberal+1 conservative
HILL scores 0.43 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: GRIFFIN, Tim (2013–2015), GRIFFIN, Tim (2011–2013), SNYDER, Victor F. (2009–2011), SNYDER, Victor F. (2007–2009)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+16
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 2, ARA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 2, AR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Conway County, AR · R+40Perry County, AR · R+58Cleburne County, AR · R+68Van Buren County, AR · R+60Faulkner County, AR · R+32Saline County, AR · R+40Pulaski County, AR · D+22White County, AR · R+61
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.6%180,713
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.0%131,095
OtherAll other candidates2.4%7,702
D+60
R+60
8 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −15.5% in 2024.−15.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−13.4%
2012−16.7%
2016−15.0%
2020−13.1%
2024−15.5%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−15.5%
131,095180,713319,510
R
−13.1%
140,254183,964333,041
R
−15.0%
120,848166,862306,144
R
−16.7%
117,769165,106282,875
R
−13.4%
122,780161,915291,441
Congressional elections · 16 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R31.1%65.7%901,306
2020R0.0%66.5%1,193,261
2016R36.2%59.8%1,107,522
2014R39.4%56.5%847,505
2010R36.9%57.9%779,957
2008D79.5%0.0%1,011,754
2004D55.9%44.1%1,039,349
2002D53.9%46.1%804,121
1998D55.1%42.2%700,831
1996R47.3%52.7%846,183
1992D60.2%39.8%920,008
1990D99.8%0.0%494,735
1986D62.3%37.7%695,487
1984D57.3%42.7%875,956
1980D59.1%40.9%808,812
1978D76.5%16.3%517,138

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.6%
German
8.8%
Irish
8.6%
American
6.9%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.4%
Italian
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.3%
75–84
3.0%
4.7%
65–74
5.5%
6.0%
55–64
6.4%
5.7%
45–54
6.0%
6.2%
35–44
6.6%
6.4%
25–34
6.8%
4.8%
18–24
4.9%
8.8%
5–17
8.3%
3.0%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,920
Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 2$64,920
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.4%
Working age (18–64)13.8%
Seniors (65+)11.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.2%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.3%
Other Christian
14.1%
Methodist
5.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arkansas's 2nd anchors the state capital and its suburbs, a mix of government workers and exurban growth that has trended steadily Republican over the past decade despite once being the state's most competitive seat.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of seventeen points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixteen points.

A population of 683,391, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,920 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Arkansas voted Republican by 15.5 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 319,510 votes cast, 131,095 went Democratic and 180,713 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, Arkansas in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Arkansas?
Congressional District 2, Arkansas has a population of 683,391 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Arkansas?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Arkansas is $64,920 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Arkansas from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.