akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Montana

Montana 1st Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Eastern Montana's vast plains anchor a reliably Republican district

2008 — 2024·5 elections
MT
LatestR+12in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population565,5192024 ACS

Montana 1st Congressional District: Industrial Catholic Metro district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+12 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
565,5192024 5-year
Median household income
$74,0912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+3 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+12 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
ZINKE, RyanCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.44 sits at approximately the 72nd percentile.00.44−1 liberal+1 conservative
ZINKE scores 0.44 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: ROSENDALE, Matthew M., Sr. (2021–2023), GIANFORTE, Greg (2019–2021), GIANFORTE, Greg (2017–2019), DAINES, Steve (2013–2015)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 1
TrumpR+12
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 1, MTA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 1, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Powell County, MT · R+54Madison County, MT · R+45Beaverhead County, MT · R+43Deer Lodge County, MT · D+1Gallatin County, MT · D+3Granite County, MT · R+44Glacier County, MT · D+20Pondera County, MT · R+42Lincoln County, MT · R+53Flathead County, MT · R+34Lake County, MT · R+20Sanders County, MT · R+55Mineral County, MT · R+48Silver Bow County, MT · D+7Ravalli County, MT · R+41Missoula County, MT · D+21
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican54.2%174,611
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.7%137,407
OtherAll other candidates3.1%10,050
D+60
R+60
16 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −11.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−11.6%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+2.5%
2012−7.6%
2016−11.8%
2020−6.9%
2024−11.6%
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.6%
137,407174,611322,068
R
−6.9%
143,416165,188316,600
R
−11.8%
101,341131,088252,196
R
−7.6%
107,831126,276241,903
D
+2.5%
121,649115,392246,571
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R45.5%52.6%607,262
2020R45.0%55.0%605,637
2018D50.3%46.8%504,384
2014R40.1%57.8%369,826
2012D48.6%44.9%486,066
2008D72.9%27.1%477,658
2006D49.2%48.3%406,505
2002D62.7%31.7%326,537
2000R47.2%50.6%411,601
1996D49.6%44.7%407,490
1994R37.6%62.4%350,387
1990D68.1%29.4%319,336
1988R48.1%51.9%365,254
1984D56.9%40.7%379,155
1982D54.5%41.7%321,062
1978D55.7%44.3%287,942
1976D64.2%35.8%321,445

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.1%
Irish
14.2%
English
14.1%
American
4.5%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
3.0%
French
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.0%
2.9%
75–84
2.9%
6.2%
65–74
6.3%
6.3%
55–64
6.4%
5.8%
45–54
5.3%
6.7%
35–44
6.3%
6.9%
25–34
6.3%
5.5%
18–24
4.9%
7.6%
5–17
7.1%
2.5%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,091
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$74,091
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.1%
Working age (18–64)11.6%
Seniors (65+)9.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.6%
speak English only
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.5%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.3%
Baptist
1.3%
Methodist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering roughly the eastern two-thirds of Montana by land area, this district pairs ranching communities and energy-sector workers with small cities like Billings, producing consistent Republican margins in federal races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of three points in 2008 and a Republican high of twelve points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twelve points.

A population of 565,519, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,091 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Montana voted Republican by 11.6 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 322,068 votes cast, 137,407 went Democratic and 174,611 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 1, Montana in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Montana?
Congressional District 1, Montana has a population of 565,519 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Montana?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Montana is $74,091 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Montana?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Montana from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.