Montana 2nd Congressional District: Farm Belt district. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+30 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 551,3522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,6102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30 in 2016MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
DOWNING, Troy
DOWNING scores 0.68 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).
Predecessors: ROSENDALE, Matthew M., Sr. (2023–2025), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1991–1993), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1989–1991), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1987–1989)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
2024 presidential election
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+30
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 63.2% | 177,468 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 33.6% | 94,499 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 3.2% | 8,928 |
D+60R+60
41 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −7.3% |
| 2012 | −19.6% |
| 2016 | −29.6% |
| 2020 | −26.8% |
| 2024 | −29.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 94,499 | 177,468 | 280,895 | ||
| R | 101,370 | 178,414 | 287,040 | ||
| R | 76,368 | 148,152 | 242,330 | ||
| R | 93,979 | 141,616 | 242,513 | ||
| R | 110,467 | 128,444 | 247,486 |
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.5% | 52.6% | 607,262 |
| 2020 | R | 45.0% | 55.0% | 605,637 |
| 2018 | D | 50.3% | 46.8% | 504,384 |
| 2014 | R | 40.1% | 57.8% | 369,826 |
| 2012 | D | 48.6% | 44.9% | 486,066 |
| 2008 | D | 72.9% | 27.1% | 477,658 |
| 2006 | D | 49.2% | 48.3% | 406,505 |
| 2002 | D | 62.7% | 31.7% | 326,537 |
| 2000 | R | 47.2% | 50.6% | 411,601 |
| 1996 | D | 49.6% | 44.7% | 407,490 |
| 1994 | R | 37.6% | 62.4% | 350,387 |
| 1990 | D | 68.1% | 29.4% | 319,336 |
| 1988 | R | 48.1% | 51.9% | 365,254 |
| 1984 | D | 56.9% | 40.7% | 379,155 |
| 1982 | D | 54.5% | 41.7% | 321,062 |
| 1978 | D | 55.7% | 44.3% | 287,942 |
| 1976 | D | 64.2% | 35.8% | 321,445 |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.8%
Irish
12.8%
English
12.1%
American
6.4%
Italian
2.9%
Scottish
2.7%
French
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,610
Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 2$71,610
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.2%
Working age (18–64)11.1%
Seniors (65+)11.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.3%
Spanish1.2%
Other languages1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Covering the vast eastern two-thirds of Montana, this district's sparse population is spread across ranching and energy country where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by 25 points or more in every cycle since 2000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty points.
A population of 551,352, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,610 describe the district.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 2, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Montana voted Republican by 29.5 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 280,895 votes cast, 94,499 went Democratic and 177,468 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, Montana in the "Farm Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Montana?
Congressional District 2, Montana has a population of 551,352 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Montana?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Montana is $71,610 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Montana?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Montana from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.