2024 presidential election
Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District
TrumpR+38.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 68.6% | 272,217 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 30.6% | 121,502 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 0.8% | 3,367 |
D+60R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 18 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1876–2024, on its current boundaries.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −12.1% |
| 2012 | −24.9% |
| 2016 | −36.4% |
| 2020 | −37.0% |
| 2024 | −38.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
R
Glenn Thompson
D
John Karl Fetterman
R
David Harold McCormick
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 30.6%Harris121,502 | 68.6%Trump272,217 | 0.8% | 397,086 | ||
| R | 30.8%Biden119,486 | 67.8%Trump263,017 | 1.4%incl. Jorgensen | 387,801 | ||
| R | 29.8%Clinton102,933 | 66.2%Trump228,645 | 4.0%incl. Johnson | 345,256 | ||
| R | 37.6%Obama117,432 | 62.4%Romney195,196 | 0.0% | 312,628 | ||
| R | 42.9%Obama146,139 | 55.0%McCain187,380 | 2.1% | 340,539 |
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | R | 28.5%111,408 | 71.5%279,027 | 390,435 |
| 2022 | 15 | R | 30.1%91,729 | 69.9%213,417 | 305,146 |
| 2020 | 15 | R | 26.5%92,156 | 73.5%255,058 | 347,214 |
| 2018 | 15 | R | 32.2%78,327 | 67.8%165,245 | 243,572 |
| 2016 | 15 | R | 38.0%124,129 | 58.4%190,618 | 326,474 |
| 2014 | 15 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%128,285 | 128,285 |
| 2012 | 15 | R | 43.2%128,764 | 56.8%168,960 | 297,724 |
| 2010 | 15 | R | 39.0%79,766 | 53.5%109,534 | 204,548 |
| 2008 | 15 | R | 41.4%128,333 | 58.6%181,433 | 309,766 |
| 2006 | 15 | R | 43.5%86,186 | 53.6%106,153 | 198,173 |
| 2004 | 15 | R | 39.4%114,646 | 58.6%170,634 | 291,134 |
| 2002 | 15 | R | 42.6%73,212 | 57.4%98,493 | 171,713 |
| 2000 | 15 | R | 46.7%103,864 | 53.3%118,307 | 222,171 |
| 1998 | 15 | R | 45.0%66,930 | 55.0%81,755 | 148,706 |
| 1996 | 15 | D | 54.8%109,812 | 41.3%82,803 | 200,363 |
| 1994 | 15 | D | 47.8%72,073 | 47.4%71,602 | 150,909 |
| 1992 | 15 | D | 52.2%111,419 | 46.7%99,520 | 213,324 |
| 1990 | 15 | R | 39.4%50,233 | 60.6%77,178 | 127,411 |
| 1988 | 15 | R | 42.5%79,127 | 57.5%106,951 | 186,078 |
| 1986 | 15 | R | 43.2%56,972 | 56.8%74,829 | 131,801 |
| 1984 | 15 | R | 41.9%79,490 | 58.1%110,338 | 189,828 |
| 1982 | 15 | R | 42.2%58,002 | 57.8%79,455 | 137,457 |
| 1980 | 15 | R | 39.7%66,626 | 59.5%99,874 | 167,725 |
| 1978 | 15 | R | 46.8%58,077 | 53.2%65,986 | 124,063 |
| 1976 | 15 | D | 65.2%108,844 | 34.5%57,616 | 166,890 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.6%3,384,180 | 48.8%3,399,295 | 6,963,137 |
| 2022 | D | 51.2%2,751,012 | 46.3%2,487,260 | 5,368,021 |
| 2018 | D | 55.6%2,777,680 | 42.7%2,134,848 | 4,994,643 |
| 2016 | R | 47.3%2,865,012 | 48.8%2,951,702 | 6,051,856 |
| 2012 | D | 53.7%3,021,364 | 44.6%2,509,132 | 5,627,422 |
| 2010 | R | 49.0%1,948,716 | 51.0%2,028,945 | 3,977,661 |
| 2006 | D | 58.7%2,392,984 | 41.3%1,684,778 | 4,077,762 |
| 2004 | R | 42.0%2,334,126 | 52.6%2,925,080 | 5,558,525 |
| 2000 | R | 45.5%2,154,908 | 52.4%2,481,962 | 4,735,116 |
| 1998 | R | 34.8%1,028,839 | 61.3%1,814,180 | 2,957,499 |
| 1994 | R | 46.9%1,648,481 | 49.4%1,735,691 | 3,513,112 |
| 1992 | R | 46.3%2,224,966 | 49.1%2,358,125 | 4,802,410 |
| 1988 | R | 32.4%1,416,764 | 66.5%2,901,715 | 4,366,598 |
| 1986 | R | 42.9%1,448,219 | 56.4%1,906,537 | 3,378,226 |
| 1982 | R | 39.2%1,412,965 | 59.3%2,136,418 | 3,604,108 |
| 1980 | R | 48.0%2,122,391 | 50.5%2,230,404 | 4,418,042 |
| 1976 | R | 46.8%2,126,977 | 52.4%2,381,891 | 4,546,353 |
Demographics
Demographic profile
Demographic Profile
Key indicators compared across containing geographies
| Indicator | PA-15Congressional district | PennsylvaniaState | United StatesNation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race & Ethnicity | |||
| White | 91.3% | 74.5% | 61.0% |
| Black | 2.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% |
| Asian | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% |
| Two or more races | 3.8% | 7.1% | 12.6% |
| Other race | 0.9% | 3.9% | 8.2% |
| Hispanic or Latino | 2.2% | 8.7% | 19.3% |
| Income & Age | |||
| Median household income | $65,472 | $77,971 | $84,427 |
| Poverty rate | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% |
| Median age | 42.3 | 41.2 | 39.1 |
| Age 18–24 | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Age 65 and older | 21.0% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
| Education & Language | |||
| Bachelor's degree or higher (25+) | 26.2% | 35.2% | 35.6% |
| Speaks a non-English language at home | 5.9% | 12.4% | 22.3% |
| German or other West Germanic | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Spanish | 1.4% | 5.6% | 13.6% |
| Ancestry | |||
| Largest ancestry | German 27.9% | German 21.6% | German 12.5% |
| 2nd-largest ancestry | Irish 12.9% | Irish 14.8% | Mexican 11.3% |
| 3rd-largest ancestry | English 10.3% | Italian 10.6% | English 9.5% |
| Religion | |||
| Catholic | 11.4%County context | 21.9% | 18.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.4%County context | 9.3% | 16.5% |
| Unaffiliated or unclaimed | 59.5%County context | 53.1% | 51.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 15.0%County context | 10.3% | 5.2% |
ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.
Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
27.9%
Irish
12.9%
English
10.3%
Italian
8.1%
American
6.6%
Polish
4.2%
Scottish
1.6%
French
1.2%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Puerto Rican
0.7%
Mexican
0.6%
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries, none of which clears the display floor here.
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Chinese
0.5%
Asian Indian
0.3%
Korean
0.2%
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$65,472
Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District$65,472
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.4%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.1%
speak English only
German or other West Germanic2.1%
Spanish1.4%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.3%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.2%
Other languages0.2%
Arabic0.2%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.1%
Vietnamese0.1%
Korean0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Unaffiliated or not counted59.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.
Anchored in the rural south-central corridor of Pennsylvania, the district delivered a 44.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier even within a competitive swing state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 38.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.0 points.
A population of 764,744, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,472 describe the district.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4215/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District voted Republican by 38.0 points (R+38.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 397,086 votes cast, 121,502 went Democratic and 272,217 went Republican.
What is Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District's political typology?
Akashic places Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District has a population of 764,744 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District is $65,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.