Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District (PA) — Elections 1876–2024

2024 presidential election

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District

TrumpR+22.8

2024

How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	61.0%	253,844
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	38.2%	158,915
OtherAll other candidates	0.8%	3,505

D+60

R+60

District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 6 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1876–2024, on its current boundaries.

presidential history

Presidential margin, 2008–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
2008	−2.0%
2012	−7.9%
2016	−22.1%
2020	−20.6%
2024	−22.8%

DemocraticRepublican

current representation

Current officeholders

Mike Kelly

U.S. House · PA-16 · Republican

John Karl Fetterman

U.S. Senate · Democratic

David Harold McCormick

U.S. Senate · Republican

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.

5 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	R	38.2%Harris158,915	61.0%Trump253,844	0.8%	−22.8%	416,264
2020	R	39.0%Biden158,729	59.7%Trump242,664	1.3%incl. Jorgensen	−20.6%	406,694
2016	R	36.9%Clinton132,835	59.0%Trump212,599	4.1%incl. Johnson	−22.1%	360,281
2012	R	46.0%Obama155,093	54.0%Romney181,827	0.0%	−7.9%	336,920
2008	R	48.2%Obama174,594	50.2%McCain181,793	1.7%	−2.0%	362,403

Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	16	R	36.3%146,709	63.7%256,923	403,632
2022	16	R	40.6%130,443	59.4%190,546	320,989
2020	16	R	40.7%143,962	59.3%210,088	354,050
2018	16	R	47.3%124,109	51.6%135,348	262,396
2016	16	R	42.9%134,586	53.8%168,669	313,773
2014	16	R	42.3%74,513	57.7%101,722	176,235
2012	16	R	39.0%111,185	54.8%156,192	284,781
2010	16	R	34.6%70,994	65.4%134,113	205,107
2008	16	R	39.4%120,193	55.8%170,329	305,167
2006	16	R	39.5%80,915	56.6%115,741	204,669
2004	16	R	34.5%98,410	64.4%183,620	285,299
2002	16	R	0.0%0	88.4%119,046	134,597
2000	16	R	33.1%80,177	66.9%162,403	242,580
1998	16	R	29.5%40,092	70.5%95,979	136,085
1996	16	R	37.5%78,598	59.4%124,511	209,602
1994	16	R	30.3%47,680	69.7%109,759	157,455
1992	16	R	35.2%74,741	64.8%137,823	212,564
1990	16	R	33.9%43,849	66.1%85,596	129,445
1988	16	R	26.0%48,169	74.0%136,944	185,113
1986	16	R	25.4%34,399	74.6%100,784	135,183
1984	16	R	22.2%39,515	77.8%138,477	177,992
1982	16	R	28.7%37,364	71.3%93,034	130,398
1980	16	R	23.1%38,891	76.9%129,765	168,656
1978	16	R	23.0%27,386	77.0%91,910	119,296
1976	16	R	37.0%57,836	62.3%97,527	156,455

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	48.6%3,384,180	48.8%3,399,295	6,963,137
2022	D	51.2%2,751,012	46.3%2,487,260	5,368,021
2018	D	55.6%2,777,680	42.7%2,134,848	4,994,643
2016	R	47.3%2,865,012	48.8%2,951,702	6,051,856
2012	D	53.7%3,021,364	44.6%2,509,132	5,627,422
2010	R	49.0%1,948,716	51.0%2,028,945	3,977,661
2006	D	58.7%2,392,984	41.3%1,684,778	4,077,762
2004	R	42.0%2,334,126	52.6%2,925,080	5,558,525
2000	R	45.5%2,154,908	52.4%2,481,962	4,735,116
1998	R	34.8%1,028,839	61.3%1,814,180	2,957,499
1994	R	46.9%1,648,481	49.4%1,735,691	3,513,112
1992	R	46.3%2,224,966	49.1%2,358,125	4,802,410
1988	R	32.4%1,416,764	66.5%2,901,715	4,366,598
1986	R	42.9%1,448,219	56.4%1,906,537	3,378,226
1982	R	39.2%1,412,965	59.3%2,136,418	3,604,108
1980	R	48.0%2,122,391	50.5%2,230,404	4,418,042
1976	R	46.8%2,126,977	52.4%2,381,891	4,546,353

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
Indicator	PA-16Congressional district	PennsylvaniaState	United StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White	87.8%	74.5%	61.0%
Black	4.5%	10.7%	12.2%
Asian	1.4%	3.8%	6.0%
Two or more races	5.1%	7.1%	12.6%
Other race	1.2%	3.9%	8.2%
Hispanic or Latino	2.7%	8.7%	19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income	$67,764	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.4%	11.7%	12.5%
Median age	42.9	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	9.0%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.3%	19.5%	17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	30.0%	35.2%	35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.1%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	1.3%	5.6%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%
Ancestry
Largest ancestry	German 26.1%	German 21.6%	German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestry	Irish 15.7%	Irish 14.8%	Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestry	Italian 12.0%	Italian 10.6%	English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic	21.2%County context	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.3%County context	9.3%	16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed	54.7%County context	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	10.5%County context	10.3%	5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.

Reported ancestry · ACS B04006

German

26.1%

Irish

15.7%

Italian

12.0%

English

9.9%

Polish

7.5%

American

4.7%

Scottish

2.0%

Slovak

1.0%

The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.

Reported ancestry · ACS B04006

African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.

African

0.4%

Specific origin · ACS B03001

Puerto Rican

1.4%

Mexican

0.7%

Detailed group · ACS B02015

Asian Indian

0.3%

American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.

2024 ACS

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.6%

2.8%

75–84

3.5%

6.1%

65–74

6.5%

7.1%

55–64

7.2%

6.0%

45–54

6.0%

35–44

5.8%

5.9%

25–34

5.6%

4.6%

18–24

4.4%

7.7%

5–17

7.3%

2.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Median household income

Inflation-adjusted dollars

$67,764

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District$67,764

Pennsylvania$77,971

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

12.4%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.7%

Working age (18–64)11.5%

Seniors (65+)10.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

2024 ACS

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

94.9%

speak English only

Spanish1.3%

German or other West Germanic1.1%

Other Indo-European0.7%

Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.6%

French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.2%

Arabic0.2%

Other languages0.2%

Other Asian & Pacific Island0.2%

Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.1%

Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.1%

Vietnamese0.1%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

2020 religion census

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic

21.2%

Evangelical Protestant

11.3%

Mainline Protestant

10.5%

Black Protestant

0.7%

Other Christian

0.6%

Latter-day Saints

0.4%

Orthodox Christian

0.2%

Muslim

0.2%

Other faiths

0.1%

Jewish

0.1%

Unaffiliated or not counted54.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

PA-16 spans the counties south and west of Pittsburgh, where a working-class electorate has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past decade, delivering a 21-point presidential margin in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 22.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.8 points.

A population of 764,852, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,764 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District voted Republican by 22.8 points (R+22.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 416,264 votes cast, 158,915 went Democratic and 253,844 went Republican.

How many people live in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District?

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District has a population of 764,852 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District?

Median household income in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District is $67,764 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District delivered R+22.8 in 2024.

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Demographic Profile

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions