Bayard City, New Mexico
Safe Democratic — shifted 17.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2K residents
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 15.5% |
Hispanic / Latino | 80.8% |
Black / African American | 0.9% |
Asian | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 3.2% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+25.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+42.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+52.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+65.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+64.7 |
Bayard City, New Mexico is a city that has a population of 2,116. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+25.0. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61.5% | 36.4% | D+25.0 | R+17.2 |
| 2020 | 70.1% | 27.9% | D+42.2 | R+10.2 |
| 2016 | 71.3% | 18.9% | D+52.4 | R+12.7 |
| 2012 | 82.6% | 17.4% | D+65.1 | D+0.4 |
| 2008 | 81.7% | 16.9% | D+64.7 | — |
What defines Bayard City?
Bayard City has been trending Republican — 40pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 25.0% margin
- Swung 17.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Bayard City | National |
|---|---|---|
Hispanic / Latino | 80.8% | 19.3% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 15.5% | 57.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Black / African American | 0.9% | 12.2% |
Asian | 0.2% | 6.0% |
Who lives in Bayard City? 2,116 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.