
Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
46K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+72.0
TURNOUT
57.2%
#50 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$66K
COLLEGE+
16%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 83pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 41.5pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 16% college+ (-19pp vs national)