Greenlee County, Arizona
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 45.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 46.7% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.4% |
▶Asian(1) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 2.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.3% | 46.0% |
| Catholic | 8.6% | 29.5% |
| Other | 7.0% | 24.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.5% | 18.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 71.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+40.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+18.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+24.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+17.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.1 |
Greenlee, Arizona is a county that has a population of 9,409. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+40.8. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.8% | 69.6% | R+40.8 | R+6.9 |
| 2020 | 32.0% | 66.0% | R+33.9 | R+9.7 |
| 2016 | 33.1% | 57.3% | R+24.2 | R+14.8 |
| 2012 | 43.9% | 53.3% | R+9.4 | D+9.3 |
| 2008 | 39.9% | 58.6% | R+18.7 | D+5.8 |
| 2004 | 37.4% | 61.9% | R+24.6 | R+10.9 |
| 2000 | 41.1% | 54.7% | R+13.6 | R+31.2 |
| 1996 | 51.7% | 34.2% | D+17.6 | D+11.5 |
| 1992 | 42.4% | 36.3% | D+6.1 | R+0.2 |
| 1988 | 52.5% | 46.2% | D+6.3 | D+2.0 |
| 1984 | 51.9% | 47.6% | D+4.3 | R+9.1 |
| 1980 | 54.0% | 40.6% | D+13.4 | R+11.8 |
| 1976 | 61.2% | 36.1% | D+25.2 | D+18.6 |
| 1972 | 52.2% | 45.6% | D+6.6 | R+30.9 |
| 1968 | 64.9% | 27.4% | D+37.5 | R+9.6 |
| 1964 | 73.5% | 26.5% | D+47.1 | D+7.1 |
| 1960 | 70.0% | 29.9% | D+40.0 | D+19.4 |
| 1956 | 60.3% | 39.7% | D+20.6 | R+16.7 |
| 1952 | 68.7% | 31.3% | D+37.4 | R+9.6 |
| 1948 | 69.9% | 23.0% | D+46.9 | — |
What defines Greenlee?
Greenlee has been trending Republican — 31pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (55% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 40.8% margin
- Shifted 31.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections