Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
17K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+62.4
TURNOUT
52.9%
#29 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$56K
COLLEGE+
15%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 86% non-Hispanic white (+29pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 59pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 120.8pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.