Jefferson County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 36.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.7% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 56.5% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 41.5% | 59.7% |
| Black Protestant | 21.5% | 30.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.5% | 6.5% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 30.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+20.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+21.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+25.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+29.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+26.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+31.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+32.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+48.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+45.1 |
Jefferson, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 64,802. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+20.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.2% | 39.2% | D+20.1 | R+1.6 |
| 2020 | 59.5% | 37.8% | D+21.7 | R+4.1 |
| 2016 | 62.3% | 36.5% | D+25.8 | R+3.3 |
| 2012 | 63.8% | 34.8% | D+29.0 | D+2.7 |
| 2008 | 62.2% | 35.9% | D+26.3 | R+4.7 |
| 2004 | 64.5% | 33.5% | D+31.0 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 65.1% | 32.2% | D+32.9 | R+15.4 |
| 1996 | 71.2% | 22.9% | D+48.3 | D+3.2 |
| 1992 | 68.8% | 23.7% | D+45.1 | D+31.2 |
| 1988 | 56.0% | 42.1% | D+13.9 | D+3.1 |
| 1984 | 54.9% | 44.1% | D+10.8 | R+11.1 |
| 1980 | 57.6% | 35.6% | D+21.9 | R+22.7 |
| 1976 | 72.3% | 27.7% | D+44.7 | D+68.7 |
| 1972 | 38.0% | 62.0% | R+24.0 | R+43.3 |
| 1968 | 42.4% | 23.2% | D+19.3 | D+6.6 |
| 1964 | 56.0% | 43.4% | D+12.6 | R+11.0 |
| 1960 | 55.4% | 31.8% | D+23.6 | D+18.2 |
| 1956 | 51.2% | 45.7% | D+5.4 | R+11.2 |
| 1952 | 58.2% | 41.6% | D+16.7 | R+30.9 |
| 1948 | 61.9% | 14.3% | D+47.6 | — |
What defines Jefferson?
Jefferson has been trending Republican — 9pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 20.1% margin
- Shifted 9.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Jefferson sits inside these higher-level geographies.