Pine Bluff, AR
Leans Democratic — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 72K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 41.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 51.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.8% | 59.8% |
| Black Protestant | 21.9% | 30.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.9% | 6.8% |
| Other | 1.5% | 2.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 28.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+8.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+11.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+16.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+21.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+18.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+26.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+28.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+46.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+42.9 |
Pine Bluff, AR is a metro area that has a population of 72,255. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+8.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.3% | 45.1% | D+8.2 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 54.4% | 43.1% | D+11.3 | R+5.5 |
| 2016 | 57.8% | 41.0% | D+16.7 | R+4.4 |
| 2012 | 59.8% | 38.6% | D+21.1 | D+2.3 |
| 2008 | 58.4% | 39.5% | D+18.9 | R+7.3 |
| 2004 | 62.2% | 36.0% | D+26.2 | R+2.4 |
| 2000 | 63.0% | 34.4% | D+28.6 | R+17.4 |
| 1996 | 69.8% | 23.8% | D+46.0 | D+3.1 |
| 1992 | 67.6% | 24.7% | D+42.9 | D+30.4 |
| 1988 | 55.4% | 42.8% | D+12.5 | D+3.7 |
| 1984 | 53.9% | 45.1% | D+8.8 | R+13.3 |
| 1980 | 57.8% | 35.7% | D+22.1 | R+23.6 |
| 1976 | 72.9% | 27.1% | D+45.8 | D+71.4 |
| 1972 | 37.1% | 62.8% | R+25.6 | R+42.6 |
| 1968 | 38.5% | 21.5% | D+16.9 | D+5.0 |
| 1964 | 55.7% | 43.7% | D+11.9 | R+14.8 |
| 1960 | 57.0% | 30.3% | D+26.7 | D+16.8 |
| 1956 | 53.5% | 43.6% | D+10.0 | R+9.7 |
| 1952 | 59.7% | 40.1% | D+19.7 | R+29.2 |
| 1948 | 62.5% | 13.6% | D+48.9 | — |
What defines Pine Bluff, AR?
Pine Bluff, AR has been trending Republican — 13pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (58% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Pine Bluff, AR
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 12.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 16.7pp to 8.2pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Pine Bluff, AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(3) | 51.9% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 41.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -63.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8% | 59.8% | — | — | |
| 21.9% | 30.7% | — | — | |
| 4.9% | 6.8% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 2.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 0.9% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 28.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Pine Bluff, AR metro area? 72,255 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Pine Bluff, AR
How competitive is Pine Bluff, AR?
Do voters in Pine Bluff, AR split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+1.0 | D+8.7 | 9.7pp |