Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
26K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+51.4
TURNOUT
48.0%
#52 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$46K
COLLEGE+
18%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 74pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 103.1pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 77% non-Hispanic white (+19pp vs national)