Safe Republican — 38 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
21K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+62.2
TURNOUT
50.7%
#40 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$59K
COLLEGE+
17%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 88% non-Hispanic white (+31pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 72pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 122.0pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.