Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
17K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+58.6
TURNOUT
56.5%
#17 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$57K
COLLEGE+
13%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 73pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 108.5pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 13% college+ (-23pp vs national)