Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 52.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 40.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 44.7% | 63.9% |
| Black Protestant | 15.7% | 22.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.9% | 11.3% |
| Other | 1.1% | 1.6% |
| Catholic | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 30.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+6.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+0.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+4.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+12.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+17.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+36.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+29.4 |
Monroe, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 6,589. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.2% | 56.9% | R+15.7 | R+1.6 |
| 2020 | 40.7% | 54.9% | R+14.1 | R+7.9 |
| 2016 | 46.2% | 52.5% | R+6.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2012 | 49.0% | 49.1% | R+0.1 | D+4.0 |
| 2008 | 46.8% | 50.9% | R+4.0 | R+16.7 |
| 2004 | 55.9% | 43.3% | D+12.6 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 58.0% | 40.4% | D+17.6 | R+19.2 |
| 1996 | 65.0% | 28.1% | D+36.8 | D+7.5 |
| 1992 | 60.3% | 31.0% | D+29.4 | D+24.6 |
| 1988 | 51.7% | 46.9% | D+4.8 | D+6.7 |
| 1984 | 48.5% | 50.5% | R+1.9 | R+15.6 |
| 1980 | 55.6% | 42.0% | D+13.7 | R+33.2 |
| 1976 | 73.3% | 26.5% | D+46.8 | D+75.7 |
| 1972 | 34.6% | 63.4% | R+28.9 | R+48.5 |
| 1968 | 35.7% | 16.1% | D+19.6 | D+12.8 |
| 1964 | 53.3% | 46.4% | D+6.8 | R+26.5 |
| 1960 | 60.5% | 27.2% | D+33.3 | D+19.6 |
| 1956 | 55.4% | 41.7% | D+13.7 | R+18.2 |
| 1952 | 65.9% | 34.1% | D+31.9 | R+16.3 |
| 1948 | 60.9% | 12.7% | D+48.2 | — |
Monroe has been trending Republican — 16pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (47% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.